| MATCHUP | Denver Nuggets | San Antonio Spurs |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 40-26 | 48-17 |
| Spread | +4.5 -110 | -4.5 -110 |
| Moneyline | +160 | -192 |
| Total | Over 240.5 (-110) | Under 240.5 (-110) |
| Where | Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX | |
| When | Thursday, March 12, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | Altitude Sports | |
The Denver Nuggets and San Antonio Spurs meet Thursday in NBA action at the Frost Bank Center. Here’s a Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs prediction. This article will include a Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs pick.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
The Denver Nuggets lost to the Thunder, beat the Rockets, and play the Lakers next. The Nuggets have lost 4 of their last 7 games.
The Denver Nuggets are averaging 120.3 points on 49.2 percent shooting and allowing 116.7 points on 47.1 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 28.9 points and 12.5 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 25.4 points and 4.4 rebounds. Aaron Gordon is the third double-digit scorer, and Peyton Watson is grabbing 4.9 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 39 percent from beyond the arc and 80.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 35.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.2 rebounds per game.
San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview
The San Antonio Spurs beat the Celtics and Rockets, and they play the Hornets next. The Spurs have won 21 of their last 25 games.
The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 118.5 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 111.9 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 24.2 points and 11.3 rebounds, while De’Aaron Fox is averaging 19.1 points and 6.3 assists. Stephon Castle is the third double-digit scorer, and Devin Vassell is dishing 2.4 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 78.4 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.7 rebounds per game.
Why the San Antonio Spurs will win
- The Spurs have won each of their last 10 games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Nuggets have lost 11 of their last 12 games at Frost Bank Center following a win.
- The Spurs have covered the spread in each of their last 13 Thursday night games.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games at Frost Bank Center following a home win.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Nuggets have won each of their last four games on the road as underdogs against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Spurs have lost seven of their last 14 games as home favorites against Northwest Division opponents following a win.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread in each of their last seven road games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as home favorites when playing with a rest advantage.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Nuggets’ last nine road games has gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Spurs’ last seven home night games following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.
San Antonio Spurs Player Facts
- Julian Champagnie is one of only 10 players in the league to have made 10+ threes in a game this season.
- De’Aaron Fox ranks 17th amongst qualified players for assists per game (6.3) this season.
Denver Nuggets Player Facts
- Tim Hardaway Jr. ranks 15th amongst qualified players for 3P% (41.3%) this season.
- Cameron Johnson ranks 18th amongst qualified players for 3P% (40.9%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Spurs rank 2nd in the league for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (21.1).
- The Spurs have missed the playoffs in six consecutive seasons—the second-longest active streak in the NBA.
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for three-point percentage this season (39.2%).
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for true shooting percentage this season (61.2%).
Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Injury Report
David Jones Garcia and Harrison Barnes are out for the Spurs. Lindy Waters and Victor Wembanyama are questionable.
The Nuggets will be without Peyton Watson.
Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction
The Spurs are going to be favored with the rest advantage at home, but I can’t lay all of these points seeing Wembanyama on the injury report. Also, the Nuggets are as healthy as they’ve been all season and they’re a legit title contender when they have all of their pieces. I don’t care about playing on the end of a back-to-back. The Nuggets have also played some of their best ball on the road this season, where they have 22 wins. I’ll take my chances with the points, but check the injury report before betting on this one.