| MATCHUP | Denver Nuggets | Miami Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 22-9 | 17-15 |
| Spread | -2.5 -105 | +2.5 -115 |
| Moneyline | -135 | +114 |
| Total | Over 244.5 (-108) | Under 244.5 (-112) |
| Where | Kaseya Center, Miami, FL | |
| When | Monday, December 29, 2025 | |
| Time | 07:30 PM EST | |
| TV | FanDuel SN Sun | |
The Denver Nuggets pay a visit to the Miami Heat at the Kaseya Center on Monday night. Here’s a Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Pick.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
The Denver Nuggets have started to cool off slightly as they’ve dropped three of their last five games overall and they will be hoping to bounce back after falling painfully short to the Magic in a 127-126 road defeat on Saturday. Nikola Jokic led the team with a triple-double of 34 points with 21 rebounds and 12 assists, Jamal Murray added 24 points while Tim Hardaway Jr chipped in with 20 points on six of 14 shooting.
As a team, the Nuggets shot 51 percent from the field and 11 of 29 from the 3-point line as they dominated the first half to lead by as many as 17 points. However, they lost their focus in the second half where they allowed 79 points before missing the potential game winner at the buzzer.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been in decent form as they’ve split their last six games overall and they will be aiming for a third straight victory after making light work of the Pacers in a 142-116 home win on Saturday. Andrew Wiggins led the starters with 28 points on 12 of 16 shooting, Jaime Jacquez Jr provided the spark off the bench with 28 points on 11 of 15 shooting while Norman Powell tallied 23 points, five rebounds and two steals.
As a team, the Heat shot 51 percent from the field and 12 of 31 from the 3-point line as they struggled to get going early on. They trailed going into halftime, before they absolutely dominated the second half by 83-56 to make it look easy in the end. It was a real balanced scoring effort from the Heat as they had a total of six players scoring at least 15 points.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Heat have won four of their last five games as home underdogs following a win.
- The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last five games as home underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as road favorites following a road loss.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Nuggets have won 18 of their last 19 night games against the Heat.
- The Heat have lost each of their last eight games against Nuggets teams that held a winning record.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread in each of their last eight games at Kaseya Center.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games at Kaseya Center against Nuggets teams that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of the Nuggets’ last 10 games as favorites following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of the Heat’s last five games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Miami Heat Player Facts
- Kel’el Ware ranks 1st in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for 3P% (47.1%) this season.
- Andrew Wiggins is one of only five qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.
Denver Nuggets Player Facts
- The Nuggets are scoring 131.9 points per 48 minutes while Peyton Watson are on the floor this season – highest mark of any qualified player in the league.
- Jamal Murray is one of only four players in the league to have recorded 30+ points and 10+ assists in consecutive games this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Heat rank 29th in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (47.7).
- The Heat rank 29th in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (41.1).
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for three-point percentage this season (40.7%).
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for field goals made per game this season (45.4).
Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Prediction
The Nuggets are still missing some players with Aaron Gordon, Christian Braun and Cameron Johnson all out, while the Heat have ruled out Tyler Herro again with Bam Adebayo upgraded to probable for this one. The Nuggets have been struggling a bit lately, and they will be kicking themselves after blowing a 17-point lead in their last outing. Meanwhile, the Heat have picked up a couple nice wins in a row, and they are getting close to full health with Adebayo returning to the lineup. This is a tough one to call, but while the Nuggets are tempting at the short line, I will go with the Heat to continue their pleasant run with a win in this one.