Golden State Warriors (44-31) vs Denver Nuggets (47-30)
Game Info: Friday, April 4, 2025 at 10:00 pm (Chase Center)
The Line: Betting Odds: Golden State Warriors +1.5 — Over/Under: 233
The Denver Nuggets and Golden State Warriors meet Friday in NBA action at the Chase Center. Here’s a Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction. This article will include a Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Pick.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
The Denver Nuggets lost to the Timberwolves and Spurs, and they play the Pacers, Kings, and Grizzlies next. The Nuggets haven’t lost three straight games since January 25-29.
The Denver Nuggets are averaging 120.9 points on 50.7 percent shooting and allowing 116.7 points on 46.6 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.3 points and 12.8 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 21.6 points and 3.8 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer, and Christian Braun is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38.1 percent from beyond the arc and 77 percent from the free-throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 36.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.7 rebounds per game.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
The Golden State Warriors beat the Grizzlies and Lakers, and they play the Rockets, Suns, and Spurs next. The Warriors have won 13 of their last 16 games and are currently the fifth seed in the West.
The Golden State Warriors are averaging 113.7 points on 45 percent shooting and allowing 110.9 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 24 points and 6 assists, while Jimmy Butler averages 17.1 points and 6.3 assists. Jonathan Kuminga is the third double-digit scorer, and Buddy Hield is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 36.2 percent from beyond the arc and 75.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 36.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.6 rebounds per game.
Why the Golden State Warriors will win
- The Warriors have won each of their last six games at Chase Center when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Nuggets have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Western Conference opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the last seven games between the Nuggets and Warriors.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 12 games as favorites.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Nuggets have won each of their last 10 road games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Warriors have lost each of their last six night games against Nuggets teams that held a winning record.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 road games following a home loss.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games after winning as underdogs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Warriors rank 4th in the league for assists per game this season (29.2).
- The Warriors rank 4th in the league for rebounds per game this season (45.6).
- The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (32.1).
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for field goals made per game this season (45.5).
Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Injury Report
The Warriors are without Gary Payton II due to a thumb injury.
The Nuggets will be without DaRon Holmes II, while Julian Strawther, Jamal Murray, and Peyton Watson are questionable.
Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction
The Nuggets are getting the benefit of the doubt because they have the rest advantage. The Nuggets have also won nine straight games against the Warriors. The Warriors haven’t beaten the Nuggets since April 2022. The Warriors are coming off a big win over the Lakers where their starters played heavy minutes. With all of that said, the Warriors are now 19-2 with Butler and Curry on the court, and they have yet to lose with last night’s starting lineup. Big game in terms of seeding in the competitive West. Like last night, the value is with the Warriors and the points in a game they could easily win outright.