| MATCHUP | Dallas Mavericks | New Orleans Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 23-45 | 22-46 |
| Spread | +8.5 -108 | -8.5 -112 |
| Moneyline | +280 | -355 |
| Total | Over 239.5 (-105) | Under 239.5 (-115) |
| Where | Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA | |
| When | Monday, March 16, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | GCSEN | |
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks split with the Cavs, beat the Grizzlies, and play the Hawks next. The Mavs have lost 19 of their last 23 games.
The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 113.2 points on 46.9 percent shooting and allowing 118.1 points on 47.2 percent shooting. Cooper Flagg is averaging 20 points and 4.3 assists, while Naji Marshall is averaging 14.9 points and 4.8 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer, and Max Christie is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 74.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 34.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.8 rebounds per game.
New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview
The New Orleans Pelicans beat the Raptors, lost to the Rockets, and play the Clippers next. The Pelicans have won 7 of their last 11 games.
The New Orleans Pelicans are averaging 115.6 points on 46.5 percent shooting and allowing 120 points on 47.4 percent shooting. Trey Murphy III is averaging 21.9 points and 5.7 rebounds, while Zion Williamson is averaging 21.4 points and 5.9 rebounds. Saddiq Bey is the third double-digit scorer, and Dejounte Murray is dishing 5.3 assists. The New Orleans Pelicans are shooting 34.6 percent from beyond the arc and 78.7 percent from the free-throw line. The New Orleans Pelicans are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.
Why the New Orleans Pelicans will win
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last 13 games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Pelicans have won each of their last four home games.
- The Pelicans have covered the spread in each of their last eight night games against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in 14 of their last 15 road games against Western Conference opponents following a win.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Pelicans have lost three of their last four games as favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Mavericks have won three of their last four games as underdogs following a road win.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in four of their last five games on the second leg of a back-to-back against Western Conference opponents.
- The Pelicans have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games as favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Mavericks’ last eight games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Pelicans’ last five home games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
New Orleans Pelicans Player Facts
- Trey Murphy III ranks 4th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.5) this season.
- Saddiq Bey ranks 9th amongst qualified guards for rebounds per game (5.7) this season.
Dallas Mavericks Player Facts
- Naji Marshall ranks 19th amongst qualified players for FG% (52.7%) this season.
- Max Christie ranks 21st amongst qualified players for 3P% (40.6%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Pelicans rank 1st for points in the paint per game (57.4) this season.
- The Pelicans rank 29th in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (12.7).
- The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (94.0).
- The Mavericks have used 39 different starting fives this season—the most in the league.
Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans Injury Report
The Pelicans will be without Bryce McGowens. Dejounte Murray is questionable.
The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving and Dereck Lively II. Klay Thompson and Daniel Gafford are questionable.
Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction
It’s weird seeing the Pelicans as big favorites, but they’re one of the losing teams that plays hard and is trying to build winning habits. The Mavs are banged up and losing, and they’re on the end of a back-to-back. The Pelicans have been a favorite of 6 or more points four times this season and they’ve covered all four of those games. The Pelicans are 39-29 ATS on the season. The Pels are a top-five cover team in the NBA. I’m going to lay the points with the home team.