Dallas (2-4) vs Houston (3-2)
November 3, 2025 at 08:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Houston -12.5 — Over/Under: +225.5
The Dallas Mavericks and Houston Rockets meet Monday in NBA action at the Toyota Center. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Pick.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Pistons, beat the Pacers, and they play the Pelicans next. The Mavs have lost 9 of their last 13 games.
The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 108.3 points on 44.2 percent shooting and allowing 116.5 points on 46.8 percent shooting. Anthony Davis is averaging 20.8 points and 2.2 assists, while D’Angelo Russell is averaging 14.2 points and 3.3 rebounds. Cooper Flagg is the third double-digit scorer, and PJ Washington is grabbing 7.7 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 32.8 percent from beyond the arc and 78.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 34 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.3 rebounds per game.
Houston Rockets Betting Preview
The Houston Rockets beat the Celtics and Raptors, and they play the Grizzlies next. The Rockets have lost 5 of their last 8 regular season games.
The Houston Rockets are averaging 127.8 points on 50.3 percent shooting and allowing 114.2 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Kevin Durant is averaging 27.2 points and 5.4 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 22.2 points and 8.4 rebounds. Jabari Smith Jr. is the third double-digit scorer, and Amen Thompson is grabbing 6 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 45.4 percent from beyond the arc and 79.3 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 36.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.4 rebounds per game.
Why the Houston Rockets will win
- The Rockets have won each of their last nine games at Toyota Center against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last nine night games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rockets have covered the spread in each of their last nine games at Toyota Center against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine road games against Southwest Division opponents.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Rockets have lost each of their last two games as home favorites following a win.
- The Mavericks have won four of their last six games as underdogs following a loss.
- The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven home games following a road win.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in five of the Mavericks’ last six games.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Mavericks’ last eight road games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of the Rockets’ last five games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Houston Rockets Player Facts
- Alperen Sengun is one of only five qualified players in the league averaging at least 7.0 rebounds and 7.0 assists this season.
- Tari Eason ranks 2nd amongst qualified Forwards for 3P% (57.1%) this season.
Dallas Mavericks Player Facts
- Max Christie ranks T7th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for 3P% (50.0%) this season.
- P.J. Washington ranks T7th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for blocks per game (1.3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rockets rank 1st in the league for three-point percentage this season (45.4%).
- The Rockets rank 30th in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (30.4).
- The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for H1 points per game this season (53.7).
- The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for offensive rating this season (104.5).
Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Injury Report
The Rockets will be without Fred VanVleet due to a knee injury. Dorian Finney-Smith is out with an ankle injury. Jabari Smith Jr. is questionable.
The Mavericks will be without Kyrie Irving, Anthony Davis, Dereck Lively II, and Dante Exum.
Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Prediction
Thick line, but the Mavericks are piling up the losses, and it’s hard to back them with confidence given their form and their injury report. The Mavs need to get healthy to get something going. The Rockets are coming off a strong week which includes three wins and three covers. The Rockets have found their groove offensively, and that’s bad news for a Mavs team that can’t score the basketball right now. In-state rivalry, but this has a chance to get ugly for the team in blue. Give me the Rockets.