Miami Heat (37-45) vs Cleveland Cavaliers (64-18)
Game Info: Monday, April 28, 2025 at 7:30 pm (Kaseya Center)
The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Heat +8.5 — Over/Under: 210
Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Preview
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been on fire, and they will be aiming to complete the series sweep after blowing past the Heat in a dominant 124-87 road win in Game 3 on Saturday. Jarrett Allen led the team with 22 points and 10 rebounds on eight of nine shooting, De’Andre Hunter added 21 points off the bench, Evan Mobley scored 19 points while Max Strus chipped in with 18 points, nine rebounds and five assists. As a team, the Cavaliers shot 53 percent from the field and 15 of 40 from the 3-point line as they jumped all over the Heat from the start and took a 20-point lead into halftime. This only grew in the second half, where the Cavaliers led by as many as 40 points at one stage.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Miami Heat wanted to make a stand at home after dropping both their road games, but things only got worse as they got smashed by 37 points in Game 3. Bam Adebayo led the team in scoring with 22 points but committed six turnovers, Davion Mitchell added 16 points with five assists while Tyler Herro chipped in with 13 points. As a team, the Heat shot just 42 percent from the field and 16 of 34 from the 3-point line as they struggled to keep pace from the tipoff and were always fighting a losing battle after falling behind by 20 points going into halftime. Andrew Wiggins had a quiet game as he shot just three of 10 for his 10 points, while Nikola Jovic shot just one of seven for his three points off the bench.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Cavaliers have lost 10 of their last 11 night games at Kaseya Center following a road win.
- The Heat have won seven of their last eight games against the Cavaliers following a home loss.
- The Cavaliers have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine night games at Kaseya Center following a road win.
- The Heat have covered the spread in 10 of their last 12 home games against the Cavaliers following a loss.
Why the Cleveland Cavaliers will win
- The Cavaliers have won each of their last 10 night games against Southeast Division opponents.
- The Heat have lost each of their last seven playoff games at Kaseya Center.
- The favorites have covered the spread in seven of the last eight games between the Cavaliers and Heat at Kaseya Center.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five playoff games at Kaseya Center.
Miami Heat Player Facts
- Duncan Robinson ranks 14th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (3.8) this season.
- Kel’el Ware ranks 17th amongst qualified players for rebounds per 36 minutes (12.0) this season.
Cleveland Cavaliers Player Facts
- De’Andre Hunter is one of only five players to have scored 35+ points off the bench in a game this season.
- Donovan Mitchell ranks 5th amongst qualified players for points per 36 minutes (27.4) this season.
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Prediction
The Cavaliers could be slightly shorthanded again with Darius Garland still listed as questionable, while the Heat have again ruled out Terry Rozier and Kevin Love. The Heat are a proud franchise who won’t take getting swept lightly, but they’ve struggled to stay competitive in this series, and it’s hard to take any positives from their massive loss in Game 3. There is always a chance that the Cavaliers have a poor outing if they look past the Heat, but if they get off to a quick start, I can see the Cavaliers cruising in this one.