| MATCHUP | Boston Celtics | Oklahoma City Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 43-22 | 51-15 |
| Spread | +7.5 -112 | -7.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | +245 | -305 |
| Total | Over 216.5 (-110) | Under 216.5 (-110) |
| Where | Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK | |
| When | Thursday, March 12, 2026 | |
| Time | 09:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | Prime Video | |
The Boston Celtics and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Thursday in NBA action at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Boston Celtics vs. Oklahoma City Thunder prediction. This article will include a Boston Celtics vs. Oklahoma City Thunder pick.
Boston Celtics Betting Preview
The Boston Celtics beat the Cavs, lost to the Spurs, and play the Wizards next. The Celtics have won 18 of their last 25 games.
The Boston Celtics are averaging 114.6 points on 46.6 percent shooting and allowing 107 points on 44 percent shooting. Jaylen Brown is averaging 28.8 points and 7.2 rebounds, while Payton Pritchard is averaging 16.9 points and 4.1 rebounds. Derrick White is the third double-digit scorer, and Jayson Tatum is grabbing 12 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 36.3 percent from beyond the arc and 79.4 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.4 rebounds per game.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Warriors and Nuggets and then play the Timberwolves next. The Thunder have won 11 of their last 13 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 118.6 points on 48.1 percent shooting and allowing 107.6 points on 43.5 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.6 points and 6.4 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 17.5 points and 4.7 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Ajay Mitchell is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 36.1 percent from beyond the arc and 82.3 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 36.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last nine night games at Paycom Center following a home win.
- The Celtics have lost four of their last five games against Thunder teams that held a winning record.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games against the Celtics.
- The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 13 night games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Boston Celtics will win
- The Celtics have won each of their last seven games following a loss.
- The Thunder have lost three of their last four Thursday games as favorites.
- The Celtics have covered the spread in each of their last seven road games against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as favorites.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of the last nine games between the Celtics and Thunder have gone OVER the total points line.
- Ten of the Celtics’ last 12 games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts
- Jaylin Williams has recorded 12+ rebounds in two consecutive appearances—the equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
- Isaiah Joe ranks 5th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.1) this season.
Boston Celtics Player Facts
- Sam Hauser is one of only 10 players in the league to have made 10+ threes in a game this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (74.4%).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent free throws made per game this season (16.6).
- The Celtics rank 1st in the league for turnovers per game this season (12.1).
- The Celtics rank 30th in the league for free throw attempts per game this season (18.2).
Boston Celtics vs Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report
The Thunder will be without Thomas Sorber, Isaiah Hartenstein, Branden Carlson, and Jalen Williams.
The Celtics will be without Nikola Vucevic. Jayson Tatum and Derrick White are questionable.
Boston Celtics vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
The Thunder are going to get the benefit of the doubt especially at home, and OKC is getting healthier. It doesn’t help we’re seeing Tatum listed as questionable. However, with or without Tatum, the Celtics have been one of the better teams in the league, both SU and ATS. The Celtics just find a way. Also, the underdog has covered 7 of the last 9 games between the Celtics and Thunder. As I’ve said before, the Thunder aren’t the cover machines they’ve been in the past with a 31-34-1 ATS record. Give me the points with the leprechauns.