| MATCHUP | Boston Celtics | Houston Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 32-18 | 31-17 |
| Spread | +5.5 -105 | -5.5 -115 |
| Moneyline | +185 | -225 |
| Total | Over 215.5 (-110) | Under 215.5 (-110) |
| Where | Toyota Center (Houston), Houston, TX | |
| When | Wednesday, February 4, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:00 PM EST | |
| TV | NBA League Pass | |
The Boston Celtics pay a visit to the Houston Rockets at the Toyota Center on Wednesday night. Here’s a Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets Prediction. This article will include a Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets Pick.
Boston Celtics Betting Preview
The Boston Celtics have been in fine form as they’ve won eight of their last 11 games overall and they will be gunning for a fourth straight victory after taking down the Mavericks in a 110-100 road win last night. Jaylen Brown led the team with 33 points and 11 rebounds on 15 of 29 shooting, Payton Pritchard added 26 points and seven assists on 12 of 20 shooting off the bench while Derrick White chipped in with 11 points and eight assists.
As a team, the Celtics shot 49 percent from the field and 13 of 39 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with their defense by holding the Mavericks to just 15 points in the second quarter. Before they exploded for 34 points in the third quarter to lead by as many as 23 points, which was more than enough to hold off a late rally from the Mavericks.
Houston Rockets Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Houston Rockets have been in red-hot form as they’ve won eight of their last 10 games overall and they will be aiming for a fourth straight victory after sneaking past the Pacers in a 118-114 road win on Monday. Alperen Sengun led the team with 39 points, 16 rebounds and five assists on 13 of 25 shooting, Amen Thompson added 16 points with 11 rebounds and seven assists while Jabari Smith Jr chipped in with 19 points.
As a team, the Rockets shot 46 percent from the field and seven of 22 from the 3-point line as they poured in 39 points in the second quarter to take a 12-point lead. However, they allowed the Pacers back into the contest and didn’t regain control until they went on a pivotal 8-0 run midway through the fourth quarter.
Why the Houston Rockets will win
- The Rockets have won 17 of their last 18 games against Eastern Conference opponents following a win.
- The Celtics have lost seven of their last eight games as underdogs against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Rockets have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as favorites when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
Why the Boston Celtics will win
- The Celtics have won 13 of their last 14 road games against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Rockets have lost 27 of their last 33 night games against Atlantic Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Celtics have covered the spread in each of their last six road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as favorites following a win.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Rockets’ last seven games at Toyota Center have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Celtics’ last six road games on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
Houston Rockets Player Facts
- Amen Thompson ranks 2nd in the league for points in the paint (602) this season.
- Reed Sheppard ranks 12th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.0) this season.
Boston Celtics Player Facts
- Jaylen Brown ranks 1st in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for points per game (29.5) this season.
- Neemias Queta ranks 2nd in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for FG% (63.6%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rockets rank 1st in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (16.3).
- The Rockets rank 1st in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (75.2%).
- The Celtics rank 30th in the league for free throws made per game this season (14.6).
- The Celtics rank 30th in the league for free throw attempts per game this season (18.5).
Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets Prediction
The Celtics are still missing Chris Boucher due to personal reasons, and they are still keeping an eye on the newly acquired Nikola Vucevic. The Rockets are still missing Steven Adams and Dorian Finney-Smith, but they expect to have Kevin Durant back in the lineup. The Rockets come into this contest as the hotter team, and they are playing at home, so it’s no surprise to see them open as favorites. Especially because the Celtics are playing their second game of a back-to-back set. However, the line just seems too high for me, so I am more comfortable going with the Celtics with the points in a game that should go down to the wire.

