| MATCHUP | Atlanta Hawks | Miami Heat |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 24-27 | 27-24 |
| Spread | +4.5 -112 | -4.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | +150 | -180 |
| Total | Over 239.5 (-115) | Under 239.5 (-105) |
| Where | Kaseya Center, Miami, FL | |
| When | Tuesday, February 3, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:30 PM EST | |
| TV | NBA League Pass | |
The Miami Heat play host to the Atlanta Hawks at the Kaseya Center on Tuesday night. Here’s a Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction. This article will include a Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Pick.
Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview
The Atlanta Hawks have lost six of their last 10 games overall and they will be hoping to avoid a third straight defeat after getting beaten by the Pacers in a 129-124 loss on Saturday. Jalen Johnson led the team with a triple-double of 33 points with 11 rebounds and 10 assists, Nickeil Alexander-Walker added 21 points with five assists while CJ McCollum chipped in with 18 points off the bench.
As a team, the Hawks shot 47 percent from the field and 11 of 28 from the 3-point line as they got off to a poor start and allowed 80 points in the first half. This was too much to overcome despite never trailing by more than nine points. The Hawks were simply out hustled on the boards as they lost the rebound battle by 51-39 and they couldn’t slow down the Pacers’ Pacsal Siakam and Aaron Nesmith who barely missed all night.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been in fine form as they’ve won four of their last six games overall and they will be eager to stay hot after blowing past the Bulls in a 134-91 win on Sunday. Bam Adebayo and Pelle Larsson led the team with 20 points apiece, Kel’el Ware added 17 points off the bench while Andrew Wiggins chipped in with 14 points.
As a team, the Heat shot 50 percent from the field and 14 of 38 from the 3-point line as they stormed out of the gates and dominated the first quarter by 34-13 to open up an early double digit lead. This lead only grew in the third quarter where the Heat scored 39 points to lead by as many as 54 points at one stage.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Heat have won eight of their last nine night games against Southeast Division opponents that held a losing record.
- The Hawks have lost 12 of their last 14 road games against Heat teams that held a winning record.
- The Heat have covered the spread in eight of their last nine night games against Southeast Division opponents that held a losing record.
- The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games at Kaseya Center when playing with a rest advantage.
Why the Atlanta Hawks will win
- The Heat have lost seven of their last eight games following a win.
- The Hawks have won seven of their last eight road games against Eastern Conference opponents after losing as favorites.
- The Hawks have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 road games after losing as favorites.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four home games following a win.
Total Points Facts
- Five of the Heat’s last six home games against Southeast Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of the Hawks’ last five games against the Heat following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
Miami Heat Player Facts
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. ranks 3rd amongst qualified Guards for FG% (51.9%) this season.
- Andrew Wiggins rank T16th in the league for total steals + blocks (102) this season.
Atlanta Hawks Player Facts
- Dyson Daniels ranks 4th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.9) this season.
- C.J. McCollum is one of only eight players in the league to have made 10+ threes in a game this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Heat rank 1st in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (94.0).
- The Heat rank 1st in the league for Q1 points per game this season (31.6).
- Nine different Hawks players have scored 25+ points in a game this season – equal-most in the league.
- The Hawks rank 2nd in the league for pace this season (102.2).
Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction
The Hawks are still missing Onyeka Okongwu, with Kristaps Porzingis upgraded to questionable, while the Heat have ruled out Tyler Herro, with Nikola Jovic and Norman Powell both listed as questionable. The Hawks could really do with a win to get their season back on track, but they’ve run into a Heat team who will be full of confidence after smashing the Bulls by 43 points in their last outing. These teams have already met once this season, with the Heat cruising to a 126-111 win back on Dec. 26 and I think we’re about to see a similar result with the Heat securing the win and cover at home.