| MATCHUP | Atlanta Hawks | Boston Celtics |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 41-32 | 48-24 |
| Spread | +5.5 -118 | -5.5 -102 |
| Moneyline | +170 | -205 |
| Total | Over 226.5 (-108) | Under 226.5 (-112) |
| Where | TD Garden, Boston, MA | |
| When | Friday, March 27, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:30 PM EDT | |
| TV | NBC Sports BO | |
The Boston Celtics play host to the streaking Atlanta Hawks at the TD Garden on Friday night. Here’s an Atlanta Hawks vs. Boston Celtics Prediction. This article will include an Atlanta Hawks vs. Boston Celtics Pick.
Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview
The Atlanta Hawks have been on fire as they’ve won 14 of their last 15 games overall and they will be gunning for a fourth straight victory after outlasting the Pistons in a 130-129 overtime road win on Wednesday. Jalen Johnson led the team with 27 points, eight rebounds and 12 assists on nine of 18 shooting; CJ McCollum added 27 points with five assists, while Nickeil Alexander-Walker chipped in with 21 points.
As a team, the Hawks shot 48 percent from the field and 18 of 52 from the 3-point line as they looked to be in trouble after they squandered an early 21-point lead, but they made up for it in overtime, where they hung on for the narrowest of wins thanks to the Pistons missing two shots in the final 2.9 seconds.
Boston Celtics Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Boston Celtics have been in great form as they’ve won five of their last six games overall and they will be eager to keep it going after beating the Thunder in a thrilling 119-109 win on Wednesday. Jaylen Brown led the team with 31 points, eight rebounds and eight assists; Jayson Tatum added 19 points with 12 rebounds and seven assists, while Payton Pritchard chipped in with 14 points.
As a team, the Celtics shot 47 percent from the field and 18 of 41 from the 3-point line as they struggled to get going on offense and scored just 20 points in the first quarter to trail by 13 points, but they chipped away at the deficit and caught fire with 70 points in the second half to run past the Thunder and claim the statement win at home.
Why the Boston Celtics will win
- The Hawks have lost each of their last nine night games after coming off overtime.
- The Celtics have won each of their last 10 Friday night games.
- The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine night games after coming off overtime.
- The Celtics have covered the spread in four of their last five games against Hawks teams that held a winning record.
Why the Atlanta Hawks will win
- The Hawks have won 14 of their last 15 games.
- The Celtics have lost two of their last three games as favorites against Southeast Division opponents following a win.
- The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 13 games as home favorites against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Hawks have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games against Eastern Conference opponents.
Total Points: Facts
- Each of the Celtics’ last five games against Eastern Conference opponents has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Hawks’ last five night games on the first leg of a back-to-back has gone UNDER the total points line.
Atlanta Hawks Player Facts
- Dyson Daniels ranks 5th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.9) this season.
- Onyeka Okongwu is one of only five qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 three, 1.0 steal, and 1.0 block this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Celtics rank 1st in the league for turnovers per game this season (12.3).
- The Celtics rank 30th in the league for free throw attempts per game this season (18.7).
- The Hawks have recorded the largest comeback win from a Q3 deficit this season—they trailed by 18 points @ the Suns on November 16.
- The Hawks rank 1st for fast break points (1340) this season.
Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics Prediction
The Hawks don’t have any players listed on their injury report, while the Celtics have ruled out Nikola Vucevic with Jaylen Brown and Derrick White both listed as day-to-day. These teams have already met twice in January, with each team snagging a win on the road and both teams have been on fire lately, so we should be in for a good one.
The Hawks are clearly playing their best basketball of the season and they have a fully healthy roster, but the Celtics have been on a nice run themselves and they will surely be brimming with confidence following their win over the Thunder on Wednesday. It’s hard to split these two teams right now but while it’s tempting to take the Hawks in an upset, I prefer a play on the more reliable Celtics to earn the win and cover at the short line.

