Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers Prediction 5/11/25 NBA Picks

Indiana Pacers (50-32) vs Cleveland Cavaliers (64-18)

Game Info: Sunday, May 11, 2025 at 8:00 pm (Gainbridge Fieldhouse)

Betting Odds: Indiana Pacers +5 -- Over/Under: 230.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: TNT

The Cleveland Cavaliers and Indiana Pacers meet Sunday in the NBA playoffs Game 4 at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Here’s a Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers Prediction. This article will include a Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers Pick.

Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Preview 

The Cleveland Cavaliers look for a win to even up the series at 2-2. The Cavs have seen 10 of their 20 losses come since March 16. The Cavs have won four straight road games.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are averaging 123 points on 48.1 percent shooting and allowing 103.9 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Donovan Mitchell is averaging 31.3 points and 4.9 assists, while Darius Garland is averaging 19.3 points and 5.7 assists. Evan Mobley is the third double-digit scorer and Jarrett Allen is grabbing 10 rebounds. The Cleveland Cavaliers are shooting 37.1 percent from beyond the arc and 82.8 percent from the free throw line. The Cleveland Cavaliers are allowing 37.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45 rebounds per game.

Indiana Pacers Betting Preview 

The Indiana Pacers need a win to take a 3-1 series lead. The Pacers have won 21 of their last 27 games. The Pacers haven’t lost two straight games since March 8-10.  

The Indiana Pacers are averaging 116.8 points on 49.8 percent shooting and allowing 113.5 points on 44.7 percent shooting. Pascal Siakam is averaging 18.3 points and 6 rebounds, while Myles Turner is averaging 16.9 points and 5.8 rebounds. Tyrese Haliburton is the third double-digit scorer, and Andrew Nembhard is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Indiana Pacers are shooting 40.1 percent from beyond the arc and 79.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Indiana Pacers are allowing 33.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.4 rebounds per game.

Why the Indiana Pacers will win

  • The Pacers have won each of their last six games following a loss.
  • The Cavaliers have lost each of their last four games against Central Division opponents following a win.
  • The Pacers have covered the spread in each of their last 10 games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse following a home loss.
  • The Cavaliers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five playoff games against Central Division opponents following a win.

Why the Cleveland Cavaliers will win

  • The Cavaliers have won each of their last six road games following a road win.
  • The Pacers have lost four of their last five games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse against Cavaliers teams that held a winning record.
  • The road team has covered the spread in each of the Cavaliers' last six games.
  • The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse against Cavaliers teams that held a winning record.

Indiana Pacers Player Facts

  • T.J. McConnell ranks 6th amongst qualified players for assists per 36 minutes (8.9) this season.
  • Bennedict Mathurin ranks T9th in the league for fast break points (277) this season.

Cleveland Cavaliers Player Facts

  • Donovan Mitchell ranks 5th amongst qualified players for points per 36 minutes (27.4) this season.
  • Evan Mobley ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Blocks Per Game (1.6) this season.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers Injury Report 

The Cleveland Cavaliers don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

The Pacers will continue to be without Isaiah Jackson due to a torn Achilles.

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers Prediction

The Cavs are now 52-36-1 ATS on the season which makes them the second most profitable team in the NBA behind only the Thunder. The Cavs also had their way in game 3 now that they’re at full strength, so it’s easy to back them again in game 4. I still like the Pacers and the points. I gave the Pacers a real shot to win this series before it started and one rough showing doesn’t change much. The Pacers have 32 wins at home this season and they can be scary good when the offense is rolling. I don’t think there’s much of a gap between these teams. I’m grabbing the points with the Pacers.

Randy’s Pick Indiana Pacers +5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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