Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Prediction 5/10/25 NBA Picks

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview 

The Golden State Warriors look for a win to take a 2-1 series lead. The Warriors have won 13 of their last 20 games. The Warriors have won eight of their last 11 home playoff games. 

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 102.2 points on 43 percent shooting and allowing 103.7 points on 44.7 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 22.6 points and 5.1 assists, while Jimmy Butler averages 18.4 points and 5.1 assists. Buddy Hield is the third double-digit scorer, and Brandin Podziemski is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 35.9 percent from beyond the arc and 75.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.1 rebounds per game.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Warriors have won each of their nine previous playoff home games against Northwest Division opponents following a loss.
• The Timberwolves have lost four of their last five playoff games as favorites following a win.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last six games as home underdogs following a road loss.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five playoff games as favorites following a win.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The Timberwolves have won seven of their last eight playoff road games against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Warriors have lost nine of their last 12 home games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games as road favorites against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven home games.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

• Buddy Hield ranks 11th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (3.9) this season.
• Jonathan Kuminga is one of only 25 players to have scored 30+ points off the bench in a game this season.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

• Mike Conley ranks 5th amongst qualified players for assist:turnover ratio (4.3) this season.
• Jaden McDaniels rank T8th in the league for total steals + blocks (184) this season.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Injury Report 

The Warriors will be without Stephen Curry due to a hamstring strain. He’ll be out for at least a week. The Warriors are 7-6 SU this season without Curry.

Rob Dillingham is questionable for the Timberwolves with an ankle injury. Dillingham hasn’t played since April 11.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

Role players perform better at home, so the Warriors should get some help from their shooters. The problem is it may not be enough without Curry. Podziemski has been awful in this postseason and couldn’t hit water if he fell out of a boat at this stage. Kuminga can’t get consistent minutes and Moody hasn’t been good offensively. Jimmy has yet to hit that second gear and said after game 2 that he’s going to keep trying to get his teammates involved. While Hield is playing out of his mind, there’s just not enough offense here to believe the Warriors can survive without their best player.

The Timberwolves have also played great on the road in the playoffs these last two years. I’d love to see the Warriors make a series of it, but it’s just tough right now, and we’re not getting enough points to lean in that direction. Give me the Timberwolves.