Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Player Prop Picks 5/9/25 NBA Picks

Denver Nuggets (50-32) vs Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14)

Game Info: Friday, May 9, 2025 at 10:00 pm (Ball Arena)

Betting Odds: Denver Nuggets +5 -- Over/Under: 233.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: ESPN

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets are set to clash in Game 3 of their Western Conference Semifinals series on Friday, May 9, 2025, at Ball Arena in Denver. The series is currently tied 1–1. Game 3 will tip off at 10:00 PM ET.

In Game 1, the Nuggets secured a dramatic 121–119 victory, with Aaron Gordon hitting a game-winning three-pointer in the final seconds. Nikola Jokić delivered a dominant performance, recording 42 points, 22 rebounds, and 6 assists. However, the Thunder responded emphatically in Game 2, defeating Denver 149–106. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led Oklahoma City with 34 points, and the team set an NBA playoff record by scoring 87 points in the first half. As the series shifts to Denver, the Thunder are favored by 4.5 points, with an over/under set at 233.5 points.  Oklahoma City will look to maintain its offensive momentum, while the Nuggets aim to regroup and leverage their home-court advantage.

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Russell Westbrook Over 12.5 Points

Westbrook is averaging 13.3 points, 6.1 assists, and 4.9 rebounds per game over 27.9 minutes per contest. His shooting percentages included 44.9% from the field, 32.3% from three-point range, and 66.1% from the free-throw line. In the postseason, Westbrook continued to contribute effectively, averaging 14.4 points. Despite transitioning into a bench role, Westbrook maintained a significant impact on the court. Westbrook has scored 14+ points in 8 of the Nuggets' last 9 games. It’s evident the Nuggets want to get him involved. 

Luguentz Dort Over 10.5 Points

Dort is averaging 10.1 points per game while shooting 43.5% from the field and an impressive 41.2% from three-point range. Dort isn’t known as a main contributor in this Thunder offense, but I like how he played in game 1, scoring 14 points. He followed that up by scoring 12 in game 2. Denver is putting a heavy emphasis on stopping SGA and Williams on the perimeter, which opened things up for Dort. This will be a high-scoring series with even guys like Dort contributing to the scoreboard. 

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 7.5 Assists

SGA is averaging 6.4 assists per game, ranking 14th in the league. This marked an improvement from his 6.2 assists per game in the previous season, reflecting his growing role as a facilitator in the Thunder's offense. His assist numbers were complemented by his league-leading scoring average of 32.7 points per game. SGA has cleared this line in both games of this series. The Nuggets have allowed the most assists per game to opposing teams this season. I like SGA to have another solid night facilitating the ball. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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