Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 5/8/25 NBA Picks

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview 

The Minnesota Timberwolves need a win to even up the series at 1-1. The Timberwolves have won 21 of their last 27 games since March 2. The Timberwolves haven’t lost one home game since March 19. The Timberwolves haven’t lost two straight games since March 17-19.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 104.2 points on 43.4 percent shooting and allowing 100.2 points on 43 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 26.2 points and 9.3 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 21.8 points and 4.7 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer, and Naz Reid is grabbing 4 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 30.2 percent from beyond the arc and 77.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 36.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

• The Timberwolves have won eight of their nine previous playoff home games against Pacific Division opponents following a loss.
• The Warriors have lost five of their last six Western Conference Semifinals road games.
• The Timberwolves have covered the spread in each of their last four games as favorites following a loss.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven Western Conference Semifinals road games.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Warriors have won 18 of their last 19 playoff games against Northwest Division opponents following a win.
• The Timberwolves have lost six of their last nine playoff games as favorites.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in eight of their last nine road games against Northwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
• The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three games against Warriors teams that held a winning record.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

• Mike Conley ranks 5th amongst qualified players for assist:turnover ratio (4.3) this season.
• Jaden McDaniels rank T8th in the league for total steals + blocks (184) this season.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

• Kevon Looney ranks 4th amongst qualified players for rebounds per 36 minutes (14.6) this season.
• Gary Payton II ranks 8th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.0) this season.

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report 

The Warriors will be without Stephen Curry due to a hamstring strain. He’ll be out for at least a week. The Warriors are 7-5 SU this season without Curry.  

The Timberwolves will be without Rob Dillingham due to an ankle injury. Dillingham hasn’t played since April 11.

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

The Timberwolves can’t possibly shoot worse than they have in their last two games, so they’re due for a breakthrough. The Warriors are also in trouble with Curry out, as he’s not only their best player, but he takes so much attention away from others. The Warriors will be a lot easier to defend. The Timberwolves have no excuse not to win this game. However, double-digit chalk is a bit steep when you consider the Warriors experience in big games. Butler also has the ability to take his game to another level this time of year.

This is the first time the Warriors have been a double-digit underdog in the playoffs since 2007. The Timberwolves have failed to cover five of their last nine games as a double-digit favorite and two of those games were outright losses. Underdogs and road teams have also had a field day so far in the second half of the playoffs. I’ll grab the points with the Warriors.