Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction 5/2/25 NBA Picks

Golden State Warriors Betting Preview 

The Golden State Warriors have a chance to make the second round for an eighth straight playoff appearance. The Warriors have won 11 of their last 16 games. The Warriors 

The Golden State Warriors are averaging 103.6 points on 43 percent shooting and allowing 104.8 points on 45.4 percent shooting. Stephen Curry averages 23.4 points and 6.2 assists, while Jimmy Butler averages 15.8 points and 3.5 assists. Brandin Podziemski is the third double-digit scorer, and Pat Spencer is grabbing 2.5 rebounds. The Golden State Warriors are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 75.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Golden State Warriors are allowing 37.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.4 rebounds per game.

Why the Golden State Warriors will win

• The Warriors have won each of their 15 previous Western Conference First Round home games against Southwest Division opponents.
• The Rockets have lost 12 of their last 13 Western Conference First Round road games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Warriors have covered the spread in each of their last eight playoff games at Chase Center following a loss.
• The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six playoff games as underdogs.

Why the Houston Rockets will win

• The Rockets have won nine of their last 10 games following a home win.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in five of the Warriors' last six games at Chase Center.
• The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five home games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.

Golden State Warriors Player Facts

• Jimmy Butler has recorded three career playoff triple-doubles.
• Gary Payton II ranks 8th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.0) this season.

Houston Rockets Player Facts

• Amen Thompson ranks 2nd amongst qualified Guards for FG% (55.7%) this season.
• Fred VanVleet ranks 8th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.6) this season.

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Injury Report 

The Rockets will be without Jae’Sean Tate due to an ankle injury. Jock Landale is out with a knee injury. 

The Warriors don’t have any players listed on their injury report.

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

The Warriors re going to get the benefit of the doubt at home for obvious reasons. The Warriors core was also on the bench laughing during the game 5 loss, so they don’t seem worried. However, the underdog has covered six of the last 10 games between the Rockets and Warriors. This series has also been tight with most of the games being decided in the fourth quarter, and you can argue a bounce here or there, and it’s the Rockets that are sitting with the lead. The Warriors are thin in terms of depth and that’s a concern for me the longer this series plays out. The Warriors are 4-7-1 ATS in their last 12 games when favorites of four or more points. It wouldn’t shock me at all if the Rockets take the Warriors down to the wire and even steal it. Give me the points.