Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction 4/18/25 NBA Picks

Atlanta Hawks (40-42) vs Miami Heat (37-45)

Game Info: Friday, April 18, 2025 at 7:00 pm (State Farm Arena)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Hawks +1 -- Over/Under: 219.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: TNT

The Miami Heat and the Atlanta Hawks duke it out for the eighth seed in a crucial Play-In game on Friday night. Here’s a Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction. This article will include a Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat stumbled their way into the postseason, but now they are coming into this game with plenty of confidence after blowing past the Bulls in a dominant 109-90 road win on Wednesday. Tyler Herro was clearly the best player on the floor as he led the team with 38 points, five rebounds, and four assists on 13 of 19 shooting. Andrew Wiggins added 20 points with nine rebounds and two blocks, while Bam Adebayo chipped in with 15 points, 12 rebounds, and three assists. As a team, the Heat shot 49 percent from the field and 13 of 35 from the 3-point line as they looked focused from the tipoff and were always in control after dominating the first half by 71-47. Davion Mitchell provided the spark off the bench with 15 points and nine assists but the Heat had no other player score more than eight points. 

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Atlanta Hawks will be hoping for a better effort in this one after getting trampled by the Magic in a 120-95 road defeat on Tuesday. Trae Young led the team with 28 points and six assists before he got ejected, Georges Niang added 15 points off the bench while Mouhamed Gueye chipped in with 12 points. As a team, the Hawks shot just 38 percent from the field and a miserly four of 21 from the 3-point line as they worked hard to cut an early 22-point deficit to just five points. Before they got smashed by 41-22 in the fourth quarter to lose big in the end. Zaccharie Risacher had a rough game as he shot just two of 10 from the field for his seven points in 29 minutes of action. 

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

  • The underdogs have won three of the Heat's last four games.
  • The Heat have lost three of their last four games as road favorites after winning as underdogs.
  • The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as road favorites after winning as underdogs.
  • The Hawks have covered the spread in five of their last six home games against Southeast Division opponents.

Why the Miami Heat will win

  • The Heat have won seven of their last eight night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Hawks have lost 10 of their last 11 home games following a road loss.
  • The Heat have covered the spread in five of their last six road games.
  • The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games against Heat teams that held a losing record.

Atlanta Hawks Player Facts

  • Caris LeVert is one of only 25 players to have scored 30+ points off the bench in a game this season.
  • Georges Niang ranks 14th in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for 3P% (40.6%) this season.

Miami Heat Player Facts

  • Alec Burks ranks 14th amongst qualified players for 3P% (42.5%) this season.
  • Duncan Robinson ranks 14th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (3.8) this season.

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction

The Heat could be short-handed once again with Kevin Love, Pelle Larsson and Nikola Jovic, while the Hawks are still missing Clint Capela, Larry Nance Jr and Jalen Johnson. These two squads met four times in the regular season, with the series tied at 2-2 and each game has been decided by at least 10 points. It's hard to split these two teams at the moment, so it's no surprise to see the line at a pick 'em for this matchup. Trae Young will have a big say in the outcome of this game, and you just know he is going to bounce back after getting smashed by the Magic on Tuesday. However, the Heat looked like a different team in their big win, with Herro leading the way with one of his best games of the season. You can make an argument for either side here, but the Hawks' role players should perform better at home, and I think that will be enough in a close contest. 

 

Peter’s Pick Atlanta +1

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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