Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction 4/18/25 NBA Picks

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview 

The Memphis Grizzlies have another chance to make the postseason after losing to the Warriors. The Grizzlies have hope to make the playoffs for the fourth time in the last five years. 

The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 121.7 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 116.9 points on 45.6 percent shooting. Ja Morant is averaging 23.2 points and 4.1 rebounds, while Jaren Jackson Jr. is averaging 22.2 points and 2 assists. Desmond Bane is the third double-digit scorer, and Santi Aldama is grabbing 6.4 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 78.6 percent from the free-throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 36 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

• The Mavericks have lost each of their last nine games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Grizzlies have won 10 of their last 11 games at FedExForum against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven road games against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Grizzlies have covered the spread in each of their last three games against the Mavericks.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

• The Grizzlies have lost nine of their last 10 night games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Mavericks have won five of their last nine games as road underdogs against Western Conference opponents following a win.
• The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games at FedExForum when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Mavericks have covered the spread in six of their last seven night games against the Grizzlies at FedExForum.

Memphis Grizzlies Player Facts

• Desmond Bane ranks 8th amongst qualified players for FT% (89.4%) this season.
• Zach Edey ranks 8th amongst qualified players for rebounds per 36 minutes (13.9) this season.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

• Daniel Gafford ranks 21st amongst qualified Centers for FT% (68.9%) this season.
• Dereck Lively II is one of only 15 players in the league to have recorded 4+ blocks in consecutive games this season.

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Injury Report 

The Memphis Grizzlies will be without Brandon Clarke, Jaylen Wells, and Zyon Pullin. Ja Morant is questionable with an ankle injury. 

The Mavs will be without Kyrie Irving and Olivier-Maxence Prosper.

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

This line is surprising. Yes, the Grizzlies are going to get the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home with the rest advantage. However, the Grizzlies haven’t been great over the last couple of months and are dealing with a banged-up Morant. I’d assume Morant tries to play, but he’s not going to be 100 percent after turning his ankle a couple of days ago. Either way, I was on the Mavs against the Kings and I’m double dipping here. The Mavs are as healthy as they’ve been in a while and their size depth is giving teams fits.

AD, Gafford, Lively, Washington, and the Mavs have endless bodies to dominate the boards and get easy points in the paint. It’s also turning opponents into outside shooters on the defensive end. No easy buckets. Brandon Williams is also coming along as a consistent scorer, and he’s coming off a brilliant performance against Sacramento. The Mavs have potential and I like what I’m seeing now that this group is healthy at the right time. I’ll take the points with the Mavericks, but I’ll be on the ML as well.