Houston Rockets (40-25) vs Phoenix Suns (30-35)
Game Info: Wednesday, March 12, 2025 at 8:00 pm (Toyota Center (Houston))
Betting Odds: Houston Rockets -4 -- Over/Under: 228.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: Space City Home Network
The Houston Rockets (40-25) will host the Phoenix Suns (30-35) on March 12th, 2025, at the Toyota Center in Houston. The Rockets are currently on a three-game winning streak, while the Suns are coming off a narrow 120-118 loss to the Memphis Grizzlies. In their recent victory over the Orlando Magic, the Rockets showcased a balanced offense. Jabari Smith Jr. led with 20 points, including five three-pointers, while Alperen Sengun contributed a double-double with 14 points and 14 rebounds. Steven Adams also added 11 points and 17 boards. Notably, Houston's three-point shooting was efficient, making 16 shots from beyond the arc compared to Orlando's eight.
The Suns' recent loss to the Grizzlies saw Kevin Durant scoring 35 points and Devin Booker adding 26. Phoenix started strong with a 25-9 lead but couldn't maintain it. Durant missed a potential game-winning three-pointer at the buzzer. Bradley Beal was sidelined due to left calf injury management, and his status for the upcoming game against the Rockets is questionable. This matchup will test the Rockets' momentum against a Suns team aiming to rebound from their recent defeat. Houston's strong three-point shooting and rebounding could be pivotal, especially if Beal remains unavailable for Phoenix.
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Jabari Smith Over 11.5 Points
Houston Rockets forward Jabari Smith Jr. has demonstrated consistent scoring throughout the 2024–25 NBA season. Over 33 games, he has averaged 11.9 points per game. Smith's season was interrupted by a fractured left hand sustained during a shootaround on January 4, 2025, sidelining him for approximately eight weeks. Prior to the injury, he maintained a field goal percentage of 40.8% and a three-point shooting accuracy of 30.7%. From the free-throw line, he converted 78.6% of his attempts. Upon returning to the lineup on February 28, 2025, after missing 22 games, Smith has been gradually reintegrated into the team's rotation. We’ve seen Smith score 12+ points in his last four games and is coming off a 20-point performance against Orlando. I’m looking to ride the hot hand in this one.
Bol Bol Under 10.5 Points
Bol Bol has averaged 5.2 points per game, reflecting his role in the team's offense. Bol has maintained a field goal percentage of 61.6% and a three-point shooting accuracy of 42.3%, showcasing his efficiency both inside and beyond the arc. From the free-throw line, he has converted 78.9% of his attempts. In addition to his scoring, Bol contributes 3.2 rebounds per game. We saw Bol start off hot when he first entered this Suns starting lineup, but he has slowed down substantially. He’s failed to score double-digit points in his last 5 games. He doesn’t have an easy matchup in this one dealing with Sengun all game in the paint.
Kevin Durant Over 26.5 Points
Kevin Durant has been a standout performer for the Phoenix Suns during the 2024–25 NBA season. He’s averaging 26.9 points per game, reflecting his consistent scoring ability. Durant has maintained a field goal percentage of 52.3%, a three-point shooting accuracy of 41.3%, and a free-throw percentage of 85.6%. Durant has scored 26+ points in 4 of his last 5 games and is coming off a game where he dropped 35 against Memphis. He has been playing at another level as of late, and I don’t see him slowing down in this one.
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AUTHOR: Brad Francis
