Miami Heat (29-35) vs LA Clippers (35-29)
Game Info: Wednesday, March 12, 2025 at 8:00 pm (Kaseya Center)
Betting Odds: Miami Heat -1.5 -- Over/Under: 209.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: FanDuel SN Sun
The Los Angeles Clippers (35-29) will face the Miami Heat (29-35) on March 12, 2025, at Kaseya Center in Miami. The Clippers are coming off a narrow 111-110 victory over the Sacramento Kings, where James Harden led with 29 points, nine rebounds, and 11 assists. However, they have struggled on the road, covering the spread in only 8 of their last 29 away games.
The Heat have faced challenges recently, losing four straight games, including a 105-102 defeat to the Charlotte Hornets after leading by 17 points. They have also struggled to maintain leads, losing games after leading by at least 17 points three times in March. In their last 12 meetings, the Clippers have dominated against the spread, going 10-2. Both teams are seeking consistency, with the Clippers aiming to improve their road performance and the Heat looking to break their losing streak.
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James Harden Over 24.5 Points
James Harden has been a pivotal offensive force for the Los Angeles Clippers during the 2024–25 NBA season. He’s averaging 21.5 points per game, reflecting his consistent scoring ability. Harden has maintained a field goal percentage of 44.2% and a three-point shooting accuracy of 36.8%, showcasing his proficiency from various spots on the court. From the free-throw line, he has been reliable, converting 85.2% of his attempts. James Harden has looked like his old self as of late, lighting up the scoreboard. We’ve seen him score 27+ points in his last 3 games, highlighted by a 50-point game against the Pistons on March 5th. Ever since Norman Powell went out due to injury, Harden has been playing on another level, and until Powell returns back in the lineup, I’ll continue to take the over on Harden’s points.
Tyler Herro Under 23.5 Points
Miami Heat guard Tyler Herro is averaging 23.4 points per game, reflecting his significant offensive contributions. Herro has maintained a field goal percentage of 46.1% and a three-point shooting accuracy of 38.7%. From the free-throw line, he has been reliable, converting 88.2% of his attempts. With that being said, I haven’t liked how Herro has looked as of late. He’s failed to score over 22 points in his last 5 games. He has a tough matchup going against this Clippers team that has played well defensively on the perimeter.
Bam Adebayo Under 10.5 Rebounds
Miami Heat center Bam Adebayo is averaging 9.8 rebounds per game, reflecting his consistent ability to control the glass. As of late, we’ve seen him secure double-digit rebounds in 4 of his last 5 games, but I don’t like this matchup for him against the Clippers. He’ll be matched up with Zubac all game, who's arguably the best rebounder in the NBA currently. The Clippers are giving up only 50 rebounds per game to opposing teams, which is the 3rd fewest in the league. Bam has looked great lately, but I think this is the spot he comes down to earth.
Brad’s Pick See Above
AUTHOR: Brad Francis
