San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction 3/9/25 NBA Picks

Minnesota Timberwolves (36-29) vs San Antonio Spurs (26-35)

Game Info: Sunday, March 9, 2025 at 8:00 pm (Target Center)

Betting Odds: Minnesota Timberwolves -10.5 -- Over/Under: 232.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: FanDuel SN SW

The San Antonio Spurs and Washington Mystics meet Sunday in NBA action at the Target Center. Here’s a San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction. This article will include a San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Pick.

San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview 

The San Antonio Spurs lost to the Kings, beat the Nets, and then play the Mavs, Hornets, and Pelicans next. The Spurs have lost 11 of their last 16 games and look broken as a team. 

The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 113.2 points on 46.2 percent shooting and allowing 115.4 points on 46.7 percent shooting. De’Aaron Fox is averaging 19.1 points and 4.1 rebounds, while Devin Vassell is averaging 15.7 points and 2.9 assists. Stephon Castle is the third double-digit scorer and Keldon Johnson is dishing 1.5 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 34.9 percent from beyond the arc and 77.4 percent from the free-throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.3 rebounds per game.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview 

The Minnesota Timberwolves beat the Hornets and Heat, and they play the Nuggets, Magic, and Jazz next. The Timberwolves look to win five straight games for the first time since January 22-30.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 112.4 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 109 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 27.2 points and 6 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 18.8 points and 4.6 assists. Naz Reid is the third double-digit scorer and Jaden McDaniels is grabbing 5.9 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 37.7 percent from beyond the arc and 79.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.9 rebounds per game.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

  • The Timberwolves have won each of their last six games at Target Center against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Spurs have lost seven of their last eight games at Target Center.
  • The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight night games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Timberwolves have covered the spread in each of their last four home games against Western Conference opponents.

Why the San Antonio Spurs will win

  • The Timberwolves have lost three of their last four games as home favorites following a road win.
  • The Spurs have won six of their seven previous games on the first leg of a back-to-back against the Timberwolves.
  • The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six night games against Spurs teams that held a losing record.
  • The Spurs have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 games against Timberwolves teams that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Timberwolves rank 3rd in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (12.6).
  • The Timberwolves rank 3rd in the league for Q4 opponent points per game this season (26.0).
  • The Spurs rank 29th in the league for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (93.3).
  • The Spurs have missed the playoffs in five consecutive seasons - the equal-second-longest active streak in the NBA

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report 

The San Antonio Spurs will be without Riley Minix, Victor Wembanyama, and Charles Bassey.

Rudy Gobert and Luka Garza are questionable for the Timberwolves.

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

The Spurs are free-falling and I have no interest in backing them in their current form. However, the Timberwolves have been hit or miss all year and I’m not excited to lay double-digit chalk. There’s also a chance the Timberwolves could be without Gobert. The Timberwolves are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a double-digit favorite. This season the Timberwolves have outright lost twice as a double-digit favorite. I’ll take my chances with the Spurs and the points.

Randy’s Pick San Antonio Spurs +10.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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