Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics Player Prop Picks 2/6/25 NBA Picks

Kyrie Irving Over 25.5 Points

Kyrie Irving has been a key offensive player for the Dallas Mavericks during the 2024-25 NBA season. He has played in 44 games, averaging 24.3 points per game, ranking him 16th in the league. His shooting efficiency includes a field goal percentage of 47.9%. 

Irving is coming off a standout performance where he scored 34 points, shooting 11-of-21 from the field, including 2-of-8 from three-point range, and 10-of-11 from the free-throw line, along with nine rebounds and four assists, in a 118-116 loss to the Philadelphia 76ers. With the Mavs losing Luka, Kyrie Irving will need to step up and be this team's leading scorer and playmaker.  He's cleared this line of 25.5 points in eight of his last 10 games. As the season goes on I expect odds makers to continue to gradually increase his points line. There's a lot of value in getting the line at 25.5.

Daniel Gafford Over 8.5 Rebounds

Daniel Gafford has been a consistent rebounder for the Dallas Mavericks during the 2024-25 NBA season. He’s averaging 6.7 rebounds per game. His rebounding efforts are distributed between 2.7 offensive rebounds and 4.0 defensive rebounds per game. Gafford's total rebounding percentage stands at 16.8%, indicating the percentage of available rebounds he secures while on the court.

In a standout performance on January 25, 2025, Gafford grabbed a season-high 15 rebounds, showcasing his ability to control the glass and contribute significantly to the Mavericks' interior presence. I'm making this pick assuming that Anthony Davis won't debut for the Dallas Mavericks. In that case, Daniel Gafford will have to play a ton of minutes. The Mavericks are still without their 7-footer Derek Lively. Without Lively and Davis in the lineup, Gafford should have a lot of opportunities to rebound the ball. He has a favorable matchup going against Boston who give up 53.5 rebounds per game to opposing teams which is the fifth most in the league. 

Jayson Tatum Over 5.5 Assists

Jayson Tatum has been a pivotal playmaker for the Boston Celtics during the 2024-25 NBA season. He has played in 51 games, averaging 5.7 assists per game. In terms of games where Tatum has recorded more than 5.5 assists, he has achieved this feat in 27 out of the 51 games played, accounting for approximately 53% of his appearances. Notably, on November 13, 2024, Tatum recorded a triple-double against the Brooklyn Nets, contributing 36 points, 10 rebounds, and 10 assists. Throughout the season, Tatum's playmaking abilities have been instrumental in facilitating the Celtics' offense, consistently setting up scoring opportunities for his teammates.

Tatum has been incredible in facilitating the ball as of late for the Boston Celtics clearing this line of 5.5 assists and 8 of his last 10 games. He has so many scores to pass the ball on this Celtics team that stacking up assists isn't a hard feat. He has a favorable matchup going against the Dallas Mavericks who are giving up 26.7 assists per game to opposing teams which is well above the league average. Expect another good night from Tatum in the assist column on Thursday.