Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction NBA Picks 5/30/24

Minnesota Timberwolves (65-32) vs Dallas Mavericks (61-37)

Game Info: Thursday, May 30, 2024 at 8:30 pm (Target Center)

Betting Odds: Minnesota Timberwolves -4.5 / Dallas Mavericks +4.5 --- Over/Under: 208.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Dallas Mavericks and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Thursday in Game 5 of the NBA Western Conference Finals at the Target Center. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks have won 7 of their last 9 games and will make the NBA Finals for the first time since 2010-11 with a win here. The Mavs are 6-2 SU on the road in these NBA playoffs. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 106.9 points on 46.6 percent shooting and allowing 103.9 points on 44.6 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 28.3 points and 9.1 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 22 points and 3.9 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer and Derrick Jones Jr. is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 72.8 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 35.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.9 rebounds per game.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves have lost 6 of their last 9 games and hope to force a game 6 on Saturday. The Timberwolves are 3-4 SU at home in these NBA playoffs. The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 107.8 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 101.9 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 27.5 points and 6.9 rebounds, while Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 18.5 points and 2.7 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer and Rudy Gobert is grabbing 10.1 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 36.2 percent from beyond the arc and 77.3 percent from the free throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.5 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report

The Timberwolves will continue to be without Jaylen Clark, who hasn’t played since November due to an Achilles injury. Mike Conley is questionable with an Achilles injury, but he’s been pushing through it, so I don’t expect him to sit. The Dallas Mavericks will be without Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Maxi Kleber and Greg Brown III. Dereck Lively II is questionable with a neck injury he suffered in game 3. Luka Doncic is questionable with an ankle injury, but we obviously don’t expect him to sit, given his issues aren’t new.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

  • The Timberwolves have won each of their last 10 Thursday night games.
  • The Mavericks have lost each of their last four night games at Target Center following a home loss.
  • The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five night games at Target Center following a home loss.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

  • Anthony Edwards ranks T3rd in the league for fast break points (310) this season.
  • Karl-Anthony Towns ranks 2nd amongst qualified Centers for three-pointers made Per Game (2.2) this season.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

  • P.J. Washington is one of only three players to have scored 40+ points off the bench in a game this season.
  • Kyrie Irving ranks 7th amongst qualified players for FT% (90.5%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for opponent field goals made per game this season (39.0).
  • The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for Q3 opponent points per game this season (25.1).
  • The Mavericks are one of only two teams to win 15+ games when trailing at HT this season.
  • The Mavericks are one of only two teams to lose a game when leading by 20+ points after Q1 this season.

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

I still believe the Dallas Mavericks are the better team and will close this out eventually. However, the Minnesota Timberwolves are due for a home victory, and now they have a pep in their step from game 4. Karl-Anthony Towns is coming off his best game of the series, and Luka Doncic was back to his limping ways. I wouldn't talk you off the ledge if you're looking at the Mavs and the free buckets, but it would be strange to see the Timberwolves lose 5 of their last 6 home games. I kind of expect the Timberwolves to win this game and make things interesting in this series as we see a game 6 this weekend. 

Randy’s Pick Minnesota Timberwolves -4.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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