Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction NBA Picks 5/26/24

Dallas Mavericks (60-36) vs Minnesota Timberwolves (64-31)

Game Info: Sunday, May 26, 2024 at 8:00 pm (American Airlines Center)

Betting Odds: Dallas Mavericks -3 / Minnesota Timberwolves +3 --- Over/Under: 208.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Dallas Mavericks meet Sunday in Game 3 of the NBA Western Conference Finals at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves have lost 5 of their last 7 games and need a win to stay in this series, already down 0-2. The Timberwolves are 5-1 SU on the road in these NBA playoffs. The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 108.1 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 101 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 27.5 points and 6.5 rebounds, while Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 18.3 points and 2.8 assists. Rudy Gobert is the third double-digit scorer and Jaden McDaniels is grabbing 4.5 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 36.1 percent from beyond the arc and 78.7 percent from the free throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.5 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks have won 6 of their last 7 games and have a chance to take an overwhelming 3-0 series lead. The Mavs are 4-2 SU at home in these NBA playoffs. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 106.8 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 103.6 points on 43.7 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 28 points and 9.3 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 21.6 points and 4.1 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer and Derrick Jones Jr. is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 36.1 percent from beyond the arc and 70.9 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.1 rebounds per game.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Injury Report

The Timberwolves will continue to be without Jaylen Clark, who hasn’t played since November due to an Achilles injury. The Dallas Mavericks will be without Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Maxi Kleber and Greg Brown III. There’s no new injuries for either team.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

  • The Mavericks have won 14 of their last 15 night games against the Timberwolves following a road win.
  • The Timberwolves have lost 11 of their last 12 playoff road games following a loss.
  • The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five night games against Southwest Division opponents.
  • The Mavericks have covered the spread in 16 of their last 20 night games against teams that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Timberwolves' last four night games against Southwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Five of the Mavericks' last six Western Conference Finals games have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Mavericks are one of only two teams to win 15+ games when trailing at HT this season.
  • The Mavericks are one of only two teams to lose a game when leading by 20+ points after Q1 this season.
  • The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for opponent field goals made per game this season (39.0).
  • The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for Q3 opponent points per game this season (25.1).

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

There's going to be value with the Minnesota Timberwolves and the free bucket because this is their season. If the Timberwolves lose this game, they're down 0-3 and the series is all but over. With that said, the Dallas Mavericks are getting elite level play from Luka and Kyrie and as I've said in previous articles, the Mavs are in a great spot as long as Luka and Kyrie are playing to their ability. Anthony Edwards is shooting 33.3 percent from the field in this series and averaging just 16.5 shot attempts. Against the Nuggets, Edwards was shooting 50 percent from the field on 20.3 shot attempts. If Edwards can't elevate his game, this series is going to be a short one.

The Mavs are 14-3 SU and 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games when favorites of 3 or more points. The Timberwolves have outright won 4 of heir last 5 games when underdogs of 3 or more points. The Timberwolves are comfortable in spots like this and have had road success in these playoffs. Still, I'm not going against Kyrie and Luka when they're playing at this level. I'll lay the bucket with the Mavs as they grab a 3-0 series lead.

Randy’s Pick Dallas Mavericks -3

Get Premium Picks Start Winning Now »
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

18+ Has gambling become a problem for you? Call the National Problem Gambling Hotline.
1-800-522-4700 | ncpgambling.org

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.

Dismiss