Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction NBA Picks 5/22/24

Minnesota Timberwolves (64-29) vs Dallas Mavericks (58-36)

Game Info: Wednesday, May 22, 2024 at 8:30 pm (Target Center)

Betting Odds: Minnesota Timberwolves -4 / Dallas Mavericks +4 --- Over/Under: 207.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Dallas Mavericks and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Wednesday in Game 1 of the NBA Western Conference Finals at the Target Center. Here’s a Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks have won 4 of their last 5 games and are coming off a 6-game series win over the OKC Thunder. The Mavs are 4-2 SU on the road in these NBA playoffs. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 106.5 points on 45.9 percent shooting and allowing 103.2 points on 44 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 27.3 points and 9.1 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 21.1 points and 4 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer and Derrick Jones Jr. is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 36.6 percent from beyond the arc and 69.8 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 35.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.8 rebounds per game.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves are coming off a 7-game series win over the Denver Nuggets and now have the second-best odds to win the NBA Finals. The Timberwolves are 3-2 SU at home in these NBA playoffs. The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 108.4 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 99.6 points on 45.7 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 28.9 points and 6.2 rebounds, while Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 18.8 points and 2.8 assists. Jaden McDaniels is the third double-digit scorer and Rudy Gobert is grabbing 10.9 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 35.8 percent from beyond the arc and 79.6 percent from the free throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.1 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report

The Timberwolves will continue to be without Jaylen Clark, who hasn’t played since November due to an Achilles injury. The Dallas Mavericks will be without Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Maxi Kleber and Greg Brown III.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

  • The underdogs have won seven of the Timberwolves' last nine playoff games.
  • The Timberwolves have lost three of their last four games as home favorites following a road win.
  • The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last six Wednesday games.
  • The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games at Target Center following a road win.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

  • Anthony Edwards ranks T3rd in the league for fast break points (310) this season.
  • Karl-Anthony Towns ranks 2nd amongst qualified Centers for three-pointers made Per Game (2.2) this season.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

  • Kyrie Irving ranks 7th amongst qualified players for FT% (90.5%) this season.
  • Tim Hardaway Jr. is one of only 21 players to have scored 30+ points off the bench in a game this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for opponent field goals made per game this season (39.0).
  • The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for Q3 opponent points per game this season (25.1).
  • The Mavericks are one of only two teams to win 15+ games when trailing at HT this season.
  • The Mavericks are one of only two teams to lose a game when leading by 20+ points after Q1 this season.

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

The Minnesota Timberwolves should get the benefit of the doubt at home, and they're the deeper team entering this series. As the case for every series with the Mavericks, it's going to come down to which version of Luka and Kyrie we're going to get. That's why I lean toward the Mavs and the free points. Luka looked closer to himself in game 5 and 6 against OKC, and now he's had 4 days of rest. This should be the best version we've seen from Luka in weeks now that he's had extended rest for his knee. The Minnesota Timberwolves are also a young team that's not used to playoff success, and they're fresh off an emotional game 7 win over the defending champs. Maybe a letdown factor for the Wolves? This feels like an ideal spot for the Mavericks to strike first and steal home court. I'll take a stab with the Mavericks and the free buckets.

Randy’s Pick Dallas Mavericks +4

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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