Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction NBA Picks 5/18/24

Dallas Mavericks (57-36) vs Oklahoma City Thunder (63-28)

Game Info: Saturday, May 18, 2024 at 8:00 pm (American Airlines Center)

Betting Odds: Dallas Mavericks -4 / Oklahoma City Thunder +4 --- Over/Under: 210.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Dallas Mavericks meet Saturday in Game 6 West Second Round NBA Playoffs action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder need a win to save their season and force a game 7 on Monday. OKC is 3-1 SU on the road in these NBA playoffs. The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 104.6 points on 45.7 percent shooting and allowing 97.4 points on 42.2 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 29.6 points and 6.2 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 18.3 points and 6.6 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer and Luguentz Dort is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 80.4 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 33.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.7 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks can make the conference finals for the second time in the last 3 years with a win here. The Mavs are 3-2 SU at home in these NBA playoffs. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 105.5 points on 45.4 percent shooting and allowing 102 points on 43.6 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 27.1 points and 9 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 21 points and 4.2 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer and Derrick Jones Jr. is grabbing 3.7 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 35.7 percent from beyond the arc and 69.7 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.5 rebounds per game.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Injury Report

The Dallas Mavericks will be without Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Maxi Kleber and Greg Brown III. At the time of this writing, Luka Doncic was not on the injury report. The Oklahoma City Thunder don’t have a single player on their injury report, making them the healthiest team in the NBA playoffs.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

  • The Mavericks have won seven of their last eight Western Conference Semifinals home games.
  • The Thunder have lost 19 of their last 21 road games following a home loss.
  • The Mavericks have covered the spread in 11 of their last 12 games as favorites following a road win.
  • The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five road games following a home loss.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

  • Kyrie Irving ranks 7th amongst qualified players for FT% (90.5%) this season.
  • Tim Hardaway Jr. is one of only 21 players to have scored 30+ points off the bench in a game this season.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

  • Jalen Williams ranks 2nd amongst qualified Forwards for 3P% (42.7%) this season.
  • Cason Wallace ranks 14th amongst qualified players for 3P% (41.9%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Mavericks are one of only two teams to win 15+ games when trailing at HT this season.
  • The Mavericks are one of only two teams to lose a game when leading by 20+ points after Q1 this season.
  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (15.7).
  • The Thunder rank 1st in the league for three-point percentage this season (38.9%).

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

The Oklahoma City Thunder have the talent to win this game, but they're showing their youth over the last few games. OKC is looking a little shaky in the moment and coming up small in this series. The Dallas Mavericks have been the better team for much of this series and could've easily won it already if they knew how to finish game 4. This series always came down to the health of Luka, and he looked great in game 5 and should be even better with the extra day of rest. At home, the Mavs should be able to get the job done. I'll lay the reasonable number with the home team.

Randy’s Pick Dallas Mavericks -4

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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