Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction NBA Picks 5/16/24

Minnesota Timberwolves (62-28) vs Denver Nuggets (63-28)

Game Info: Thursday, May 16, 2024 at 8:30 pm (Target Center)

Betting Odds: Minnesota Timberwolves / Denver Nuggets --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Denver Nuggets and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Thursday in game 6 West NBA Playoffs Second Round action at the Target Center. Here’s a Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets will advance to the conference finals for the third time in the last 5 years with a victory here. The Nuggets are 3-1 SU on the road in these NBA playoffs. The Denver Nuggets are averaging 106.6 points on 47.7 percent shooting and allowing 103.8 points on 48.9 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 28.8 points and 13.3 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 20.2 points and 4.7 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Aaron Gordon is grabbing 7.5 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 35.8 percent from beyond the arc and 82.9 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 33 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.3 rebounds per game.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

The Minnesota Timberwolves need a win to save their season and force a game 7 on Sunday. The Timberwolves are 2-2 SU at home in these NBA playoffs. The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 108.8 points on 48.2 percent shooting and allowing 104 points on 48.1 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 30.6 points and 6.2 rebounds, while Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 19.3 points and 2.7 assists. Rudy Gobert is the third double-digit scorer and Mike Conley is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 36.3 percent from beyond the arc and 78.2 percent from the free throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 39.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.8 rebounds per game.

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report

The Timberwolves will continue to be without Jaylen Clark, who hasn’t played since November due to an Achilles injury. The Nuggets will continue to be without Vlatko Cancar, who hasn’t played since November due to a knee injury. Mike Conley is questionable with an Achilles injury, and he missed game 5 because of it.

Why the Denver Nuggets will win

  • The Nuggets have won each of their last six playoff games as underdogs.
  • The Timberwolves have lost each of their last two playoff games as home favorites.
  • The Nuggets have covered the spread in each of their last six playoff games as road underdogs.
  • The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games as home favorites against Northwest Division opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Nuggets' last five Western Conference Semifinals road games against Northwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Timberwolves' last four home games against Northwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for opponent field goals made per game this season (39.0).
  • The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for Q3 opponent points per game this season (25.1).
  • The Nuggets rank T1st in the league for Q4 win percentage this season (56.1%).
  • The Nuggets rank 2nd in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (11.2).

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction

It's hard to believe the Minnesota Timberwolves, who dominated the Nuggets in the first two games of this series, will go down this quickly. However, the Nuggets have gotten whatever they've wanted offensively in the last three games against the Timberwolves, and that includes two comfortable wins in Minnesota. The Nuggets have taken Anthony Edwards out offensively, forcing others to step up, and Jokic is coming off a masterclass in game 5. It also doesn't help that Mike Conley is injured now, which removes experience and a true point guard. I'd love to see a game 7, but from a betting perspective, the value is with the Nuggets and the free bucket. Are you really stepping in front of the Nuggets given what we've seen the last 3 games? I'm not. Give me the free bucket with the Nuggets.

Randy’s Pick Denver Nuggets +2

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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