Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction NBA Picks 5/13/24

Dallas Mavericks (56-35) vs Oklahoma City Thunder (62-27)

Game Info: Monday, May 13, 2024 at 9:30 pm (American Airlines Center)

Betting Odds: Dallas Mavericks -105 / Oklahoma City Thunder -115 --- Over/Under: 217 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Dallas Mavericks meet Monday in Game 4 West Second Round NBA Playoffs action at the American Airlines Center. Here’s a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder look to rebound from back to back losses to even up the series at 2-2. OKC is 2-1 SU on the road in these playoffs. The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 107 points on 47.4 percent shooting and allowing 96.7 points on 41.1 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 28.9 points and 6.1 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 19.9 points and 6.3 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer and Josh Giddey is grabbing 4.1 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 38.4 percent from beyond the arc and 77.6 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 32.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.7 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks have won 4 of their last 5 playoff games and hope to take a 3-1 series lead. The Mavs are 3-1 SU at home in these playoffs. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 106.8 points on 45.3 percent shooting and allowing 103.3 points on 44.4 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 27.7 points and 8.7 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 23.3 points and 4.8 rebounds. PJ Washington is the third double-digit scorer and Daniel Gafford is grabbing 4.9 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 35.4 percent from beyond the arc and 71 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 37.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.8 rebounds per game.

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report

The Dallas Mavericks will be without Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Maxi Kleber and Greg Brown III. Luka Doncic is listed as questionable with a knee injury. Luka has been dealing with a knee injury all playoffs, but he’s still racked up 377 postseason minutes, so I’d expect him to continue to push through. Luka played 40 minutes in game 3 despite hobbling around. The Oklahoma City Thunder don’t have a single player on their injury report, making them the healthiest team in the NBA playoffs.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

Luka Doncic ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (33.9) this season.
Daniel Gafford ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (72.5%) this season.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for steals per game (2.0) this season.
Chet Holmgren rank 3rd amongst qualified players for steals + blocks per game (3.0) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Mavericks rank 2nd in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (4.0).
The Mavericks rank 2nd in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (39.5).
The Thunder rank T1st in the league for steals per game this season (8.5).
The Thunder rank T1st in the league for blocks per game this season (6.6).

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

I wouldn't knock you off the ledge if looking at the Oklahoma City Thunder, given the health situation. Luka continues to play through a knee injury that doesn't look to be getting better. However, I'm still going to lean on that experience from the Mavs and the home crowd. PJ Washington and others have stepped up big for the Mavs, and Kyrie has been picking his spots well as a scorer and facilitator. Also, despite being banged up, Luka has been able to provide big buckets when needed most, so he's not useless out there. Remember, the Thunder are extremely young and this is a tough spot on the road in a hostile venue. It's not crazy to think the Thunder are a year away in terms of really making that title push. I'm going to side with the Mavs in this near pick em spot.