Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction NBA Picks 5/11/24

Dallas Mavericks (55-35) vs Oklahoma City Thunder (62-26)

Game Info: Saturday, May 11, 2024 at 3:30 pm (American Airlines Center)

Betting Odds: Dallas Mavericks -2.5 --- Over/Under: 219.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Oklahoma City Thunder and the Dallas Mavericks duke it out in a pivotal NBA Game 3 at the American Airlines Center on Saturday night. Here's a Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction.

Oklahoma City Thunder

The Oklahoma City Thunder will be hoping to bounce back and reclaim home court advantage after falling short to the Mavericks in a 119-110 loss in Game 2 on Thursday night. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 33 points, 12 rebounds and eight assists, Jalen Williams added 20 points while Chet Holmgren chipped in with 11 points and six assists but no other player finished in double figures in scoring. As a team, the Thunder shot 47 percent from the field and 10 of 30 from the 3-point line, but they weren't focused on the defensive end, particularly early on as they allowed the Mavericks to pour in 68 points in the first half to fall behind by as many as 14 points. The Thunder got little support from their bench and they got just eight points each from Luguentz Dort and Josh Giddey.

Dallas Mavericks

Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks needed to respond after dropping the series opener and they did just that as they dismantled the Thunder to square up the series on Thursday. Luka Doncic led the team with 29 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists, PJ Washington added 29 points with 11 rebounds and foru assists while Tim Hardaway Jr provided the spark off the bench with 17 points in just 19 minutes of action. As a team, the Mavericks shot 46 percent from the field and 18 of 37 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 36 points in the first quarter to take the early lead and they just kept their foot on the gas until the fourth quarter where they held off a late rally from the Thunder. Kyrie Irving had a quiet game as he scored just nine points on two of eight shooting in 41 minutes of action.

Dallas Mavericks Player Facts

  • Daniel Gafford ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (72.5%) this season.
  • Kyrie Irving ranks 7th amongst qualified players for FT% (90.5%) this season.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for steals per game (2.0) this season.
  • Chet Holmgren rank 3rd amongst qualified players for steals + blocks per game (3.0) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Mavericks rank 2nd in the league for opponent blocks per game this season (4.0).
  • The Mavericks rank 2nd in the league for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (39.5).
  • The Thunder rank T1st in the league for steals per game this season (8.5).
  • The Thunder rank T1st in the league for blocks per game this season (6.6).

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

The Mavericks are keeping an eye on Doncic who is currently listed as questionable. However, the Mavs will be brimming with confidence after bouncing back with a solid road win on Thursday and now have a chance to take the lead in the series. The Thunder might have thought that it was going to be easy as they didn't match the intensity of the Mavericks early and just couldn't gain any traction until late in the game. The Mavericks looked like a different team on Thursday, and they got the job done easily despite a quiet game from Irving. With the series moving to Dallas, I'm going with the Mavericks to get the job done at the short line in this spot.

Peter’s Pick Dallas -2.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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