Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction NBA Picks 4/29/24

Miami Heat (48-39) vs Boston Celtics (66-19)

Game Info: Monday, April 29, 2024 at 7:30 pm (Kaseya Center)

Betting Odds: Miami Heat +10.5 --- Over/Under: 204 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Boston Celtics and the Miami Heat collide in a crucial NBA playoffs Game 4 at the Kaseya Center on Monday night. Here’s a Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction.

Boston Celtics

The Boston Celtics will be aiming to take a commanding 3-1 series lead after making light work of the Heat in a 104-84 win in Game 3 on Saturday. Jayson Tatum led the team with 22 points, 11 rebounds and six assists, Jaylen Brown added 22 points with eight rebounds and three assists on 11 of 20 shooting, Kristaps Porzingis tallied 18 points while Derrick White chipped in with 16 points. As a team, the Celtics shot 47 percent from the field and 11 of 37 from the 3-point line, but this game was set up by their defense as they restricted the Heat to just 12 points in the first quarter, before they exploded for 42 points in the second quarter to lead by as many as 29 points at one stage.

Miami Heat

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat would have been brimming with confidence following their surprising road win in Game 2, but it's back to the drawing board after getting run over by the Celtics in a tough loss on Saturday. Bam Adebayo led the team with 20 points, nine rebounds and three assists, Nikola Jovic and Tyler Herro scored 15 points each while Jaime Jacquez Jr chipped in with 12 points and five assists. As a team, the Heat shot just 41 percent from the field and nine of 28 from the 3-point line, but they were never in the contest after struggling in the early going to trail by 63-39 going into halftime. Kevin Love and Duncan Robinson both finished scoreless while Caleb Martin finished with just five points in 38 minutes of action.

Miami Heat Player Facts

  • Bam Adebayo ranks 4th amongst qualified Forwards for rebounds per game (10.4) this season.
  • Tyler Herro ranks 12th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made Per Game (3.1) this season.

Boston Celtics Player Facts

  • Al Horford ranks 1st amongst qualified Centers for 3P% (41.9%) this season.
  • Jrue Holiday ranks 2nd in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for 3P% (42.9%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Heat rank 30th in the league for blocks per game this season (3.4).
  • The Heat rank 29th in the league for H2 points per game this season (53.3).
  • The Celtics rank 1st in the league for point differential per game this season (+11.3).
  • The Celtics rank T1st in the league for blocks per game this season (6.6).

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction

The Celtics don't have a single player listed on the injury report, while the Heat are still missing Terry Rozier, Josh Richardson and Jimmy Butler. The Celtics needed to respond after dropping Game 2 and they made it look easy in Game 3 on Saturday, but you always expect the Heat to bounce back after losses, so I'm expecting a much closer contest in this one. I still have the Celtics getting the win to take a 3-1 series lead, but I think the Heat start stronger this time and do just enough to get the backdoor cover at home.

 

Peter’s Pick Miami +10.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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