Nuggets vs Heat Prediction - NBA Picks 6/9/23

Miami Heat (58-47) vs Denver Nuggets (67-33)

Game Info: Friday, June 9, 2023 at 8:30 pm (Kaseya Center)

Betting Odds: Miami Heat +3.5 -- Over/Under: 210.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Denver Nuggets and Miami Heat meet Friday in Game 4 of the NBA Finals at the Kaseya Center. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 114.8 points on 49.4 percent shooting and allowing 106.6 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 30.5 points and 13.4 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 27.4 points and 5.7 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Aaron Gordon is grabbing 5.9 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 37.9 percent from beyond the arc and 81.7 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 34.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.7 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat are averaging 109.9 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 107.4 points on 46.4 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 27.3 points and 6.6 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 17.7 points and 9.7 rebounds. Gabe Vincent is the third double-digit scorer and Caleb Martin is grabbing 5.5 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 38.8 percent from beyond the arc and 80.9 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 32.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.2 rebounds per game.


The Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Heat are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games and 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games overall. The over is 6-2-1 in Nuggets last 9 road games. The under is 6-1 in Heat last 7 overall. The Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Miami and 27-10 ATS in the last 37 meetings.

Randy’s Pick

The Denver Nuggets once again imposed their will with their size in game 3 and have looked like the better team through much of this series. They should be favored. With that said, the Heat has bounced back every time you're ready to count them out this season. Also, the Heat still thrives in the underdog role, especially in the playoffs, as they've covered 11 of their last 15 playoff games as an underdog. Nine of those 11 covers were outright victories. Must win game for the Heat, as they can't go down 1-3 and expect to truly win this series. Give me the points.

Randy’s Pick Miami Heat +3.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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