Heat vs Nuggets Prediction - NBA Picks 6/4/23

Denver Nuggets (66-32) vs Miami Heat (57-46)

Game Info: Sunday, June 4, 2023 at 8:00 pm (Ball Arena)

Betting Odds: Denver Nuggets -8.5 -- Over/Under: 215.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Heat and Denver Nuggets meet Sunday in Game 2 of the NBA Finals at the Ball Arena. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat are averaging 110.7 points on 46.8 percent shooting and allowing 107.3 points on 45.9 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 27.6 points and 7 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 17.3 points and 9.4 rebounds. Caleb Martin is the third double-digit scorer and Gabe Vincent is grabbing 1.7 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 38.7 percent from beyond the arc and 80.5 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 32.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.1 rebounds per game.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 115.6 points on 49.1 percent shooting and allowing 107.1 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.8 points and 13.1 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 27.6 points and 5.5 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Aaron Gordon is grabbing 5.6 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38.2 percent from beyond the arc and 81.4 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 34.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.3 rebounds per game.

Trends

The Heat are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games and 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games overall. The Nuggets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The under is 5-0 in Heat last 5 overall. The under is 5-2 in Nuggets last 7 overall. The Heat are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Denver and 9-26 ATS in the last 35 meetings.

Randy’s Pick

The Denver Nuggets are fabulous at home, where they average 118.4 points on 50.8 percent shooting from the field, and their size gave the Heat problems. The Heat didn't do much offensively in game 1, but they had a ton of open looks, and it feels like they should be comfortable here as well. Also, there's a chance Tyler Herro is cleared for this game, which gives the Heat its best pure scorer back. I believe we're going to see a higher scoring game now that tams are a bit more comfortable and the jitters are out of the way. Herro possibly playing is just a bonus. Give me the over.

Randy’s Pick Over 215.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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