Celtics vs Heat Prediction - NBA Picks 5/27/23

Miami Heat (56-43) vs Boston Celtics (66-33)

Game Info: Saturday, May 27, 2023 at 8:30 pm (Kaseya Center)

Betting Odds: Miami Heat +3 -- Over/Under: 211 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Boston Celtics and Miami Heat meet Saturday in Game 6 of the NBA Eastern Conference Finals at the Kaseya Center. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Boston Celtics Betting Preview

The Boston Celtics are averaging 113.9 points on 48.5 percent shooting and allowing 109.2 points on 45.9 percent shooting. Jayson Tatum is averaging 27.7 points and 10.4 rebounds, while Jaylen Brown is averaging 22.7 points and 3.3 assists. Marcus Smart is the third double-digit scorer and Derrick White is grabbing 2.9 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 38.1 percent from beyond the arc and 80.5 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 36.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43 rebounds per game.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat are averaging 112.8 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 109.1 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 28.8 points and 6.7 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 17.5 points and 8.9 rebounds. Gabe Vincent is the third double-digit scorer and Caleb Martin is grabbing 4.9 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 38 percent from beyond the arc and 80.5 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 33.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 40.6 rebounds per game.


The Celtics are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The over is 11-4 in Celtics last 15 overall. The over is 22-8 in Heat last 30 overall. The Celtics are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Miami and 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

Randy’s Pick

The Boston Celtics have the momentum and are the better team on paper, so I can understand why they're favored here, even on the road. However, no team has ever blown a 0-3 lead in the NBA playoffs, and we've seen how quickly momentum can shift in a series. The Heat have lost just once at home in these playoffs. The Heat are 10-4 ATS and 9-5 SU in their last 14 playoff games as an underdog. I expect a better effort from the Heat here. Give me the bucket in a game the Heat should win at home.

Randy’s Pick Miami Heat +3

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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