Nuggets vs Lakers Prediction - NBA Picks 5/20/23

Los Angeles Lakers (52-45) vs Denver Nuggets (63-32)

Game Info: Saturday, May 20, 2023 at 8:30 pm (Crypto.com Arena)

Betting Odds: Los Angeles Lakers -5 -- Over/Under: 223.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Lakers meet Saturday in game 3 of the NBA Western Conference Finals at the crypto.com Arena. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Denver Nuggets Betting Preview

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 116.5 points on 49 percent shooting and allowing 107.8 points on 47.4 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 30.4 points and 13.8 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 27.2 points and 5.5 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Aaron Gordon is grabbing 5.7 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38.5 percent from beyond the arc and 81.6 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 34.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.9 rebounds per game.

Los Angeles Lakers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Lakers are averaging 112.7 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 109.1 points on 43.2 percent shooting. LeBron James is averaging 23.5 points and 10.1 rebounds, while Anthony Davis is averaging 22.3 points and 13.8 rebounds. Austin Reaves is the third double-digit scorer and D’Angelo Russell is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Los Angeles Lakers are shooting 33.3 percent from beyond the arc and 80.7 percent from the free throw line. The Los Angeles Lakers are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.1 rebounds per game.

Trends

The Nuggets are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 Conference Finals games. The Lakers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The over is 5-1-1 in Nuggets last 7 road games. The over is 15-7 in Lakers last 22 overall. The Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Randy’s Pick

The Los Angeles Lakers have hung around in both games this series, so they should feel OK heading back home. However, we're getting the better team and free points, and it's hard to turn that down at any point, regardless of where the game is played. The Nuggets are the better team, no matter how you slice it, and they lose as underdogs by an average of just 2.8 points. The Nuggets are 9-6 ATS when underdogs of 7 or fewer points. The Lakers may win, but I'm not leaving points on the table with the Nuggets.

Randy’s Pick Denver Nuggets +5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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