Lakers vs Nuggets Prediction - NBA Picks 5/16/23

Denver Nuggets (61-32) vs Los Angeles Lakers (52-43)

Game Info: Tuesday, May 16, 2023 at 8:30 pm (Ball Arena)

Betting Odds: Denver Nuggets -5.5 -- Over/Under: 222.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: ESPN Stream live sports and exclusive originals on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

The Los Angeles Lakers and Denver Nuggets meet Tuesday in game 1 of the NBA Western Conference Finals at the Ball Arena. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Los Angeles Lakers are averaging 112.4 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 107.3 points on 42.2 percent shooting. LeBron James is averaging 23.4 points and 10 rebounds, while Anthony Davis is averaging 21.2 points and 14.1 rebounds. D’Angelo Russell is the third double-digit scorer and Austin Reaves is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Los Angeles Lakers are shooting 33.1 percent from beyond the arc and 79.3 percent from the free throw line. The Los Angeles Lakers are allowing 33.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.8 rebounds per game.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 115.8 points on 48.9 percent shooting and allowing 106.6 points on 47.1 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 30.7 points and 12.8 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 25.9 points and 5.2 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Aaron Gordon is grabbing 6.1 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 37.9 percent from beyond the arc and 81.5 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 33.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.4 rebounds per game.

The Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Nuggets are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 home games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest. The over is 14-6 in Lakers last 20 overall. The under is 8-3 in Nuggets last 11 home games. The Lakers are 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Denver.

The Los Angeles Lakers will have their chances to win this series, and it's hard to turn down free points with the way they're playing. Game 1 is also a spot where the road team usually has its best early chance to steal home court, as both teams are feeling each other out. With all that said, the Nuggets have been the best home team in the league, where they win by an average of 10.3 points and shoot 50.9 percent from the field. The Nuggets are also 31-16 ATS at home. It's to the point you make a mountain of cash just blindly backing the Nuggets. I'll lay the reasonable chalk.

Randy’s Pick Denver Nuggets -5.5

Get Premium Picks Start Winning Now »
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

NBA 1st Half & MLB First 5 Inning Picks & Predictions Thursday 5/30/24 | Picks for Every Game Today

18+ Has gambling become a problem for you? Call the National Problem Gambling Hotline.
1-800-522-4700 |

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.