Suns vs Nuggets Prediction - NBA Picks 5/9/23

Denver Nuggets (59-32) vs Phoenix Suns (51-40)

Game Info: Tuesday, May 9, 2023 at 10:00 pm (Ball Arena)

Betting Odds: Denver Nuggets -5 -- Over/Under: 228 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Phoenix Suns and Denver Nuggets meet Tuesday in Game 5 of the NBA West Semifinal Playoffs at the Ball Arena. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Phoenix Suns are averaging 117.1 points on 50.5 percent shooting and allowing 115.3 points on 47.3 percent shooting. Devin Booker is averaging 36.8 points and 7.4 assists, while Kevin Durant is averaging 30 points and 8.9 rebounds. Deandre Ayton is the third double-digit scorer and Chris Paul is grabbing 5 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 36.2 percent from beyond the arc and 82.2 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 35.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41 rebounds per game.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 114.6 points on 48.4 percent shooting and allowing 107.9 points on 47.4 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 30.8 points and 13.1 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 26.7 points and 5.3 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Aaron Gordon is grabbing 6.1 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 37.1 percent from beyond the arc and 80.4 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 33.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.1 rebounds per game.

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The Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 13-6 ATS in their last 19 Conference Semifinals games. The Nuggets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Conference Semifinals games. The over is 19-7-2 in Suns last 28 overall. The over is 6-1-1 in Nuggets last 8 overall. The Suns are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Many are going to make a case for the Phoenix Suns and the points given the last two games, but just remember how down people were on them after the first two games in Denver. Don't overreact wildly from game to game in a series. The bottom line is both teams have taken care of business at home and the Nuggets are probably the best home team in the league. In fact, the Nuggets win at home by an average of 10.2 points while shooting 50.9 percent from the field and 39 percent from 3. This feels like a back and forth series where the home team wins until we get to a game 7 where anything can happen. I'll lay the reasonable chalk with the Nuggets.

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Randy’s Pick Denver Nuggets -5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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