Nuggets vs Suns Prediction - NBA Picks 5/7/23

Phoenix Suns (50-40) vs Denver Nuggets (59-31)

Game Info: Sunday, May 7, 2023 at 8:00 pm (Footprint Center)

Betting Odds: Phoenix Suns -2.5 -- Over/Under: 227.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Denver Nuggets and Phoenix Suns meet Sunday in Game 4 of the NBA West Semifinal Playoffs at the Footprint Center. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 113.4 points on 47.4 percent shooting and allowing 105.3 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 28 points and 14.3 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 26.5 points and 5.4 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Aaron Gordon is grabbing 6.1 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 37.5 percent from beyond the arc and 81.3 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 32.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.6 rebounds per game.

The Phoenix Suns are averaging 115.6 points on 49.8 percent shooting and allowing 114.3 points on 46.2 percent shooting. Devin Booker is averaging 36.9 points and 6.9 assists, while Kevin Durant is averaging 29.3 points and 8.6 rebounds. Deandre Ayton is the third double-digit scorer and Chris Paul is grabbing 5 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 82.1 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.5 rebounds per game.

The Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Conference Semifinals games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games. The Suns are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 Sunday games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Conference Semifinals games. The over is 5-1-1 in Nuggets last 7 overall. The over is 18-7-2 in Suns last 27 overall. The Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

I still believe the Denver Nuggets are the better team, and turning down free points with them isn't easy. The Phoenix Suns continue to lack depth, the injury to CP3 makes things worse, and Booker and Durant are being played into the ground. Through 8 playoff games, Booker and Durant have played a combined 685.1 minutes. That's not ideal if the Suns hope to end this thing with a banner. Still, the Suns are at home, they're shooting the ball well overall and there's still another level they can reach with that outside shot. Don't be surprised if the Suns have a big game with the 3 ball. I'll lay the bucket with the Suns, as this series could be a long one.

Randy’s Pick Phoenix Suns -2.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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