Nuggets vs Suns Prediction - NBA Picks 5/5/23

Phoenix Suns (49-40) vs Denver Nuggets (59-30)

Game Info: Friday, May 5, 2023 at 10:00 pm (Footprint Center)

Betting Odds: Phoenix Suns -3.5 -- Over/Under: 224.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Denver Nuggets and Phoenix Suns meet Friday in Game 3 of the NBA West Semifinal Playoffs at the Footprint Center. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 113.3 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 103 points on 45.6 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 27.7 points and 13.9 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 25.7 points and 5.3 rebounds. Aaron Gordon is the third double-digit scorer and Michael Porter Jr. is grabbing 6.9 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38.1 percent from beyond the arc and 80.7 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 32.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.9 rebounds per game.

The Phoenix Suns are averaging 114.9 points on 49.7 percent shooting and allowing 114.3 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Devin Booker is averaging 35.4 points and 6.6 assists, while Kevin Durant is averaging 27.9 points and 8.6 rebounds. Deandre Ayton is the third double-digit scorer and Chris Paul is grabbing 5 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 81.3 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.6 rebounds per game.

The Nuggets are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 Friday games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Suns are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 Friday games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The over is 4-1-1 in Nuggets last 6 overall. The over is 7-2-1 in Suns last 10 overall. The Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

The Phoenix Suns are getting the benefit of the doubt because they're at home and down 0-2 in the series. If a team is going to make anything of a series, this is where they turn things around. It makes sense. However, the Denver Nuggets are simply the better, deeper team, and I'm not going to turn down free points. The Suns lack depth, and they're running Booker and Durant into the ground as Steph Curry is the only player who has played more minutes these playoffs, but he's also played 1 more game than them. I'm going to keep siding with the Nuggets in this series, especially when getting free points.

Randy’s Pick Denver Nuggets +3.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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