Suns vs Nuggets Prediction - NBA Picks 5/1/23

Denver Nuggets (58-30) vs Phoenix Suns (49-39)

Game Info: Monday, May 1, 2023 at 10:00 pm (Ball Arena)

Betting Odds: Denver Nuggets -4.5 -- Over/Under: 227 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Phoenix Suns and Denver Nuggets meet Monday in Game 2 of the NBA West Semifinal Playoffs at the Ball Arena. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Phoenix Suns are averaging 119.5 points on 51.5 percent shooting and allowing 117.2 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Devin Booker is averaging 35.5 points and 6.7 assists, while Kevin Durant is averaging 28.5 points and 8.7 rebounds. Deandre Ayton is the third double-digit scorer and Chris Paul is grabbing 5 rebounds. The Phoenix Suns are shooting 39 percent from beyond the arc and 80.7 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Suns are allowing 37.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42 rebounds per game.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 116 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 105.7 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Jamal Murray is averaging 28.3 points and 5.5 rebounds, while Nikola Jokic is averaging 25.8 points and 13.5 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Aaron Gordon is grabbing 6.8 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 39.7 percent from beyond the arc and 79.8 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 34.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.5 rebounds per game.

The Suns are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest. The Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The over is 7-1-1 in Suns last 9 overall. The over is 4-0-1 in Nuggets last 5 overall. The Suns are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Denver and 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

You would think the Phoenix Suns come with a better effort down 0-1, and you can make a case for them as underdogs given their star power. However, this series is more about the Nuggets, their depth, and their dominance at home more than anything. The Nuggets win at home by an average of 10.2 points while shooting 51 percent from the field. Also, the Suns have no depth after the Durant trade, and they're playing Booker and Durant into the ground. Both racking up 255 minutes in these playoffs, no other player has logged anywhere close to those minutes than those two guys. Those minutes add up the more games they play. Give me the Nuggets and the reasonable chalk.

Randy’s Pick Denver Nuggets -4.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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