76ers vs Celtics Prediction - NBA Picks 5/1/23

Boston Celtics (61-27) vs Philadelphia 76ers (58-28)

Game Info: Monday, May 1, 2023 at 7:30 pm (TD Garden)

Betting Odds: Boston Celtics -9.5 -- Over/Under: 215 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Philadelphia 76ers and the Boston Celtics duke it out in Game 1 of the Conference Semifinals at the TD Garden on Monday night.

The Philadelphia 76ers are coming into this series with plenty of momentum after making light work of the Nets in a four-game sweep in the first round. Joel Embiid has been leading the way with averages of 20.0 points, 11.3 rebounds and 2.3 blocks per game, Tyrese Maxey is averaging 21.8 points, Tobias Harris is averaging 20.3 points while James Harden is averaging 17.3 points, 5.5 rebounds and 8.8 assists per game. As a team, the 76ers are scoring 103.8 points while shooting 45 percent from the field and 40.6 percent from the 3-point line.

Meanwhile, the Boston Celtics haven’t had as much time to recover as they had to work hard to get past the Hawks in six games in the first round. Jayson Tatum led the way with averages of 27.2 points, 10.0 rebounds and 5.3 assists per game, Jaylen Brown averaged 26.7 points, 5.3 rebounds and 3.0 assists per game while Derrick White averaged 17.3 points per game. As a team, the Celtics scored 121.2 points per game while shooting 51.2 percent from the field and 40.6 percent from the 3-point line.

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Looking at the betting trends, the 76ers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four road games, 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games against a team with a winning record and 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games overall. The Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Head to head, the under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Boston, the 76ers are 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings overall and the 76ers are 4-10 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Boston.

The 76ers are probably going to be shorthanded to start the series as Joel Embiid is currently listed as doubtful for Game 1, while the Celtics are coming into this one at full strength. Yes, the 76ers had the luxury of extra rest as they haven’t played in over a week, but the loss of Embiid is huge, especially against the Celtics who lack size in the paint. The line is a little hefty here, but the Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games and they just can’t afford to miss out on this opportunity with Embiid out. Give me the Celtics to draw first blood with a win and cover in this one.

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Peter’s Pick Boston -9.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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