Bucks vs Heat Prediction - NBA Picks 4/22/23

Miami Heat (46-40) vs Milwaukee Bucks (59-25)

Game Info: Saturday, April 22, 2023 at 7:30 pm (Kaseya Center)

Betting Odds: Miami Heat +5.5 -- Over/Under: 219.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat meet Saturday in Game 3 of the NBA East First Round Playoffs at the Kaseya Center. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 127.5 points on 51.6 percent shooting and allowing 126 points on 56.5 percent shooting. Khris Middleton is averaging 24.5 points and 7.5 rebounds, while Pat Connaughton is averaging 22 points and 4 rebounds. Jrue Holiday is the third double-digit scorer and Brook Lopez is grabbing 4 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 38.3 percent from beyond the arc and 76.7 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 50.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.5 rebounds per game.

The Miami Heat are averaging 126 points on 56.5 percent shooting and allowing 127.5 points on 51.6 percent shooting. Jimmy Butler is averaging 30 points and 4 rebounds, while Bam Adebayo is averaging 20 points and 7 rebounds. Gabe Vincent is the third double-digit scorer and Caleb Martin is grabbing 2 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 50.8 percent from beyond the arc and 70.5 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 38.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38.5 rebounds per game.

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The Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest. The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 2 days rest. The over is 4-0 in Bucks last 4 overall. The over is 7-0 in Heat last 7 overall. The Bucks are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Miami.

The status of Giannis Antetokounmpo is obviously a big deal and will play a role in a potential line change. Still, I have to side with the Bucks whether he plays or not. The Heat are just too inconsistent and often look like they don't care to play basketball. Game 2 was one of those games, along with the play-in game against the Hawks. The Heat also don't improve their play much at home, and we've seen them get waxed at home against the Bucks and last year in the ECF against the Celtics. I'd love to be wrong, but I'll lay the chalk with the Bucks.

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Randy’s Pick Milwaukee Bucks -5.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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