Lakers vs Grizzlies Prediction - NBA Picks 4/16/23

Memphis Grizzlies (51-31) vs Los Angeles Lakers (44-39)

Game Info: Sunday, April 16, 2023 at 3:00 pm (FedExForum)

Betting Odds: Memphis Grizzlies -3.5 -- Over/Under: 228 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Los Angeles Lakers and Memphis Grizzlies meet Sunday in Game 1 of the NBA West First Round Playoffs at the FedExForum. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Los Angeles Lakers are averaging 117.2 points on 48.2 percent shooting and allowing 116.6 points on 46.9 percent shooting. LeBron James is averaging 28.8 points and 8.4 rebounds, while Anthony Davis is averaging 26.1 points and 12.5 rebounds. D’Angelo Russell is the third double-digit scorer and Austin Reaves is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Los Angeles Lakers are shooting 34.6 percent from beyond the arc and 77.5 percent from the free throw line. The Los Angeles Lakers are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.7 rebounds per game.

The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 116.9 points on 47.5 percent shooting and allowing 113 points on 45.3 percent shooting. Ja Morant is averaging 26.2 points and 8.1 assists, while Desmond Bane is averaging 21.5 points and 5 rebounds. Jaren Jackson Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Dillon Brooks is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 35.1 percent from beyond the arc and 73.3 percent from the free throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 35.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.6 rebounds per game.

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The Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Grizzlies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The over is 8-0 in Lakers last 8 overall. The under is 4-1 in Grizzlies last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Lakers are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Memphis.

The Memphis Grizzlies have been scary good at home this season, where they win by an average of 10.6 points. I understand why they're favored. However, the Lakers have been one of the better defensive teams over the last month, and they've been playing meaningful ball for weeks, which could be key entering this series. Rhythm can be an advantage for the Lakers. Also, there's something about getting free points with AD and LeBron, two guys capable of going nuclear and value possessions this time of year. I have the Lakers winning this series, so I'll take points whenever I can get them. 

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Randy’s Pick Los Angeles Lakers +3.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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