Kings vs Mavericks Prediction - NBA Picks 4/5/23

Dallas Mavericks (37-42) vs Sacramento Kings (47-31)

Game Info: Wednesday, April 5, 2023 at 8:30 pm (American Airlines Center)

Betting Odds: Dallas Mavericks -5 -- Over/Under: 243.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Sacramento Kings and Dallas Mavericks meet Wednesday in NBA action at the American Airlines Center. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Sacramento Kings are averaging 121.4 points on 49.7 percent shooting and allowing 118.3 points on 49.3 percent shooting. De’Aaron Fox is averaging 25.3 points and 4.2 rebounds, while Domantas Sabonis is averaging 19.1 points and 12.5 rebounds. Kevin Huerter is the third double-digit scorer and Harrison Barnes is grabbing 4.6 rebounds. The Sacramento Kings are shooting 37.2 percent from beyond the arc and 79.3 percent from the free throw line. The Sacramento Kings are allowing 37.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.4 rebounds per game.

The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 113.8 points on 47.4 percent shooting and allowing 113.3 points on 48.5 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 32.8 points and 8.1 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 26.1 points and 5.2 rebounds. Christian Wood is the third double-digit scorer and Tim Hardaway Jr. is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 37.2 percent from beyond the arc and 75.7 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 35.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38.6 rebounds per game.

The Kings are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Wednesday games and 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 road games. The Mavericks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 Wednesday games. The over is 18-8-1 in Kings last 27 overall. The under is 9-4-1 in Mavericks last 14 overall. The Kings are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Dallas and 19-7-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings.

The Dallas Mavericks are at home, have the rest advantage and this is pretty much a must win as they're on the outside looking in for the play-in tournament. So, I can understand the line. However, the Mavs have been awful over the last month, and I'm not interested in laying chalk with them. The Sacramento Kings are the better team, and it wouldn't be surprising to see them steal this game outright. I'll take my chances with the points as more of a fade from the Mavs than anything.

Randy’s Pick Sacramento Kings +5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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