Heat vs Magic Prediction - NBA Picks 3/11/23

Orlando Magic (27-40) vs Miami Heat (35-32)

Game Info: Saturday, March 11, 2023 at 7:00 pm (Amway Center)

Betting Odds: Orlando Magic +2.5 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Heat invade the Amway Center to do battle with the Orlando Magic on Saturday night.

The Miami Heat are starting to build some momentum with three wins in their past four games and they will be looking to stay hot after sneaking past the Cavaliers in a 119-115 loss last night. Jimmy Butler led the team with 33 points on 12 of 16 shooting, Tyler Herro added 25 points with nine rebounds and four assists while Bam Adebayo chipped in with 19 points on eight of 12 shooting. As a team, the Heat shot 51 percent from the field and 14 of 29 from the 3-point line as they struggled for most of the first half to trail by as many as 14 points, but they flipped a switch and dominated the fourth quarter by 37-26 to pull off the impressive comeback win.

Meanwhile, the Orlando Magic have been in a slump as they’ve lost four of their last five games overall and they will be hoping to put a halt to a three-game skid after getting stopped by the lowly Jazz in a 131-124 loss on Thursday. Paolo Banchero led the team with 26 points, Markelle Fultz added 25 points with six assists while Franz Wagner chipped in with 24 points. As a team, the Magic shot 46 percent from the field and 16 of 34 from the 3-point line as they poured in 41 points in the third quarter to erase a 15-point deficit, only to allow the Jazz to score 34 points in the fourth quarter to end up short in the end.

Looking at the betting trends, the Heat are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games, 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games against a team with a losing record and 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games overall. The Magic are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games, 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games against a team with a winning record and 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.

Head to head, the under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings overall and the Heat are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings overall.

The Heat are shorthanded once again as Kyle Lowry is still out, while the Magic will again be without Jonathan Isaac. The Heat have been well below their standards for a majority of the season, but they’re starting to heat up again and they looked good in last night’s gritty comeback win over the Cavaliers. The Magic have surprised a few teams this season, but they’ve gone off the boil lately and they might struggle if they allow the Heat to get off to a quick start. This should be a close one, but the Magic are only 0-6 ATS in their last six home games, so I’ll stick with the Heat to get the win and cover at the short line.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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