Nuggets vs Spurs Prediction - NBA Picks 3/10/23

San Antonio Spurs (16-49) vs Denver Nuggets (46-20)

Game Info: Friday, March 10, 2023 at 8:00 pm (AT&T Center)

Betting Odds: San Antonio Spurs +12 -- Over/Under: 235 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Denver Nuggets and San Antonio Spurs meet Friday in NBA action at the AT&T Center. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 116.8 points on 50.8 percent shooting and allowing 112.7 points on 47.9 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 24.3 points and 11.8 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 20.1 points and 4 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Aaron Gordon is grabbing 6.8 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38.9 percent from beyond the arc and 75.1 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 34.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.1 rebounds per game.

The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 112.1 points on 46.7 percent shooting and allowing 122.3 points on 50.8 percent shooting. Keldon Johnson is averaging 21.6 points and 4.8 rebounds, while Devin Vassell is averaging 19.2 points and 3.6 assists. Devonte’ Graham is the third double-digit scorer and Tre Jones is grabbing 3.6 rebounds. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 34 percent from beyond the arc and 74.7 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 39.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43 rebounds per game.

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The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Spurs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games and 5-18 ATS in their last 23 games overall. The under is 5-2 in Nuggets last 7 games playing on 1 days rest. The over is 27-13 in Spurs last 40 overall. The Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

This is a lot of points to lay with a road team, but the Denver Nuggets are clearly the better side, and they've been covering numbers lately as well. The San Antonio Spurs have been in tank mode all year, and they don't cover numbers despite being underdogs nightly. The Spurs lose in the underdog role by an average of 11.2 points. I'll take my chances with the Nuggets and the chalk, as backing the Spurs isn't an option these days.

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Randy’s Pick Denver Nuggets -12

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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