Raptors vs Nuggets Prediction - NBA Picks 3/6/23

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The Toronto Raptors and Denver Nuggets meet Monday in NBA action at the Ball Arena. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Toronto Raptors are averaging 112.6 points on 45.4 percent shooting and allowing 112 points on 49 percent shooting. Pascal Siakam is averaging 24.8 points and 7.7 rebounds, while Fred VanVleet is averaging 19.4 points and 4.3 rebounds. Gary Trent Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and O.G. Anunoby is grabbing 5.3 rebounds. The Toronto Raptors are shooting 33.5 percent from beyond the arc and 78.1 percent from the free throw line. The Toronto Raptors are allowing 37.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.8 rebounds per game.

The Denver Nuggets are averaging 117.1 points on 50.9 percent shooting and allowing 112.6 points on 47.8 percent shooting. Nikola Jokic is averaging 24.5 points and 11.8 rebounds, while Jamal Murray is averaging 20.2 points and 4.1 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. is the third double-digit scorer and Aaron Gordon is grabbing 6.8 rebounds. The Denver Nuggets are shooting 38.9 percent from beyond the arc and 75.3 percent from the free throw line. The Denver Nuggets are allowing 34.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.2 rebounds per game.

The Raptors are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games. The Nuggets are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 home games and 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games overall. The over is 12-5 in Raptors last 17 road games. The over is 5-2 in Nuggets last 7 home games. The Raptors are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Denver and 8-22 ATS in the last 30 meetings. The over is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings.

I don't trust the Toronto Raptors from night to night, and I certainly don't trust them against quality teams on the road. The Denver Nuggets win at home by an average of 11.9 points while shooting 52.4 percent from the field. The Nuggets are 23-10 ATS at home this season as well. I have no choice but to side with the Nuggets and the chalk at home. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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