76ers at Heat Prediction - NBA Picks 3/1/23

Miami Heat (33-29) vs Philadelphia 76ers (39-21)

Game Info: Wednesday, March 1, 2023 at 7:30 pm (Miami-Dade Arena)

Betting Odds: Miami Heat +1.5 -- Over/Under: 215 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Heat play host to the Philadelphia 76ers at the FTX Arena on Wednesday night.

The Philadelphia 76ers have been in decent shape as they’ve won seven of their last 11 games overall, but they will be hoping to snap a two-game skid after falling just short to the Heat in a 101-99 loss on Monday. Joel Embiid led the team with 27 points and 12 rebounds, James Harden added 20 points with 12 assists while Tyrese Maxey provided the spark off the bench with 23 points on eight of 16 shooting. As a team, the 76ers shot just 43 percent from the field and 10 of 28 from the 3-point line as they fought hard to rally back from an 11-point fourth quarter deficit, only to see the Heat’s Jimmy Butler still the game on free throws with just 8.1 seconds left on the clock.

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been struggling as they’ve lost six of their last 10 games overall, but they will be feeling much better after putting a halt to a four-game slide with a 101-99 road win over the 76ers on Monday. Jimmy Butler led the team with 23 points, 11 rebounds, nine assists and four steals, Gabe Vincent added 14 points while Bam Adebayo and Max Strus each scored 13 points. As a team, the Heat shot 43 percent from the field and 15 of 37 from the 3-point line as they looked to be in trouble when they squandered an 11-point lead, but they turned to Butler who delivered down the stretch to finish just one assist shy of a triple-double.

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Looking at the betting trends, the 76ers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games, 1-5 ATS in their last six games against a team with a winning record and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Head to head, the 76ers are 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings in Miami and the 76ers are 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings overall.

The 76ers will again be missing Dewayne Dedmon, while the Heat are still without Kyle Lowry for this one. The 76ers will be kicking themselves after dropping a winnable game on Monday, but it's always tough to beat the same team twice in a row and I think the 76ers will play better in this one. The Heat were somewhat lucky to get over the line on Monday, but I’m expecting a bounce back performance from Embiid or Harden to carry the 76ers in a close one.

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