Heat at Bucks Prediction - NBA Picks 2/4/23

Milwaukee Bucks (35-17) vs Miami Heat (29-24)

Game Info: Saturday, February 4, 2023 at 8:00 pm (Fiserv Forum)

Betting Odds: Milwaukee Bucks -5.5 -- Over/Under: 219 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Milwaukee Bucks play host to the Miami Heat at the Fiserv Forum on Saturday night.

The Miami Heat have been in great shape as they’ve won eight of their last 12 games overall, but they will be looking to bounce back here after falling just short to the Knicks in a 106-104 road loss on Thursday. Bam Adebayo led the team with 32 points on 11 of 16 shooting, Tyler Herro added 25 points with eight assists while Max Strus chipped in with 17 points off the bench. As a team, the Heat shot 44 percent from the field and 13 of 36 from the 3-point line as they kept pace with the Knicks in a close contest, until the fourth quarter where they fell behind by 14 points which proved to be just enough in the end as they cut the deficit to just two points before the clock expired.

Meanwhile, the Milwaukee Bucks have been in great shape as they’ve won eight of their last nine games overall and they will be hoping to build on their six-game win streak after sneaking past the Clippers in a hard-fought 106-105 home win on Thursday. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team with 54 points and 19 rebounds on 21 of 39 shooting, Khris Middleton added 16 points off the bench while Jrue Holiday chipped in with 12 points and eight assists. As a team, the Bucks shot 43 percent from the field and nine of 37 from the 3-point line as they got off to a terrible start and trailed by as many as 21 points, before they rallied behind their defense and held the Clippers to just 18 points in the fourth quarter to pull off the impressive comeback victory.

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Looking at the betting trends, the Heat are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a loss, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a winning record and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Bucks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a winning record and 15-6 ATS in their last 21 home games against a team with a losing road record.

Head to head, the Heat are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings overall.

 The Heat are shorthanded once again as Victor Oladipo and Kyle Lowry are both out while Gabe Vincent is listed as day to day. The Bucks are also banged up with Bobby Portis still out, but they should have Giannis Antetokounmpo in the lineup. It’s always fun when these two teams collide, but the Heat are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings overall and I think they can hang on and get the cover in a close one.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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