Heat at Cavaliers Prediction - NBA Picks 1/31/23

Cleveland Cavaliers (31-21) vs Miami Heat (28-23)

Game Info: Tuesday, January 31, 2023 at 7:00 pm (Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse)

Betting Odds: Cleveland Cavaliers -4.5 -- Over/Under: 213 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Heat pay a visit to the Cleveland Cavaliers at the Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse on Tuesday night.

The Miami Heat have been in great shape as they’ve won seven of their last 10 games overall, but they will be hoping to bounce back here after having their three-game win streak snapped by the Hornets in a 122-117 road loss on Sunday. Jimmy Butler led the team with 28 points on 11 of 14 shooting, Tyler Herro added 24 points while Bam Adebayo chipped in with 17 points and six assists. As a team, the Heat shot 48 percent from the field and 10 of 31 from the 3-point line as they rode the hot hand of Butler to lead for most of the contest, before they couldn’t put the Hornets away and got burned in the third quarter to fall behind by 12 points and come up short in the end. Kyle Lowry scored just 11 points on three of 11 shooting while no bench player scored more than 10 points.  

Meanwhile, the Cleveland Cavaliers have been in decent shape as they’ve won nine of their last 16 games overall and they will be eager to stay hot after blowing past the Clippers in a 122-99 home win on Sunday. Cedi Osman led the team in scoring with 29 points on 11 of 13 shooting off the bench, Darius Garland added 16 points with 10 rebounds while Jarrett Allen chipped in with 15 points, eight rebounds and three assists. As a team, the Cavaliers shot 56 percent from the field and a sizzling 20 of 33 from the 3-point line as they jumped all over the Clippers from the start and never looked in danger after dominating the first half by 64-34. The Cavaliers were great on the defensive end as they held the Clippers to just 41 percent shooting from the field and just two of 19 from the 3-point line.

Looking at the betting trends, the Heat are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a winning record and 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. The Cavaliers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a win, 4-1 ATS in their last five games against a team with a winning record and 19-8-1 ATS in their last 28 home games.

Head to head, the under is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings in Cleveland and the Heat are 12-5 ATS in the last 17 meetings overall.

The Heat could be shorthanded again as Jimmy Butler and Gabe Vincent are both questionable, while the Cavaliers are still missing Dylan Windler, but they are expecting to have Kevin Love back in the lineup. The Heat come into this meeting as the team in better form, but they just loss to the lowly Hornets and they could be without their best player for this one, so I’m more inclined to lean towards the Cavaliers in this spot, especially after the way they beat the Clippers in their last outing. This should be a close one, but I’ll stick with the Cavaliers to get the job done at home.

Peter’s Pick Cleveland -4.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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