Magic at Heat Prediction - NBA Picks 1/27/23

Miami Heat (27-22) vs Orlando Magic (19-29)

Game Info: Friday, January 27, 2023 at 8:00 pm (Miami-Dade Arena)

Betting Odds: Miami Heat -7.5 -- Over/Under: 190.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Orlando Magic pay a visit to the Miami Heat at the FTX Arena on Friday night.

The Orlando Magic have been in decent form as they’ve won three of their last four games and they will be aiming for a third straight victory after sneaking past the struggling Pacers in a 126-120 win on Wednesday. Paolo Banchero led the team with 23 points, Gary Harris added 22 points on eight of nine shooting while Wendell Carter Jr. chipped in with 18 points, 10 rebounds and two blocks. As a team, the Magic shot 56 percent from the field and 15 of 28 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 46 points in the first quarter to take the early lead, before they held off a late run from the Pacers to escape with the narrow win.

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been in great shape as they’ve won six of their last eight games overall and they will be gunning for a third straight win after outlasting the Celtics in a 98-95 home win on Tuesday. Bam Adebayo led the team with 30 points and 15 rebounds on 12 of 22 shooting, Haywood Highsmith added 15 points with 10 rebounds off the bench while Max Strus chipped in with 13 points. As a team, the Heat shot just 36 percent from the field and 12 of 33 from the 3-point line as they scored just 18 points in the second quarter to trail for most of the game, before they won behind their defense, holding the Celtics to just 13 points in the fourth quarter to steal the game in the end.

Looking at the betting trends, the Magic are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games, 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a win and 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games overall. The Heat are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games against a team with a losing record, 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games and 9-19-2 ATS in their last 30 games following a win.

Head to head, the under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Miami, the Magic are 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings in Miami and the Magic are 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings overall.

The Magic will again be missing Chuma Okeke, while the Heat are still missing Duncan Robinson with Max Strus and Haywood Highsmith both listed as day to day. The Magic are coming into this meeting with plenty of momentum and they looked great in their win over the Pacers on Wednesday, but the Heat have clearly been the more consistent team this season and they would’ve taken so much confidence from their gritty comeback win over the Celtics. The Heat should be well-rested for this one as they haven’t played since Tuesday and I think they get the job done in this spot.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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