Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat - 1/14/23 NBA Picks and Prediction

Miami Heat (23-20) vs Milwaukee Bucks (27-15)

Game Info: Saturday, January 14, 2023 at 1:00 pm (FTX Arena)

Betting Odds: Miami Heat -1.5 -- Over/Under: 219.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Milwaukee Bucks and the Miami Heat duke it out once again at the FTX Arena on Saturday afternoon in NBA action.

The Milwaukee Bucks have been in decent shape as they’ve won five of their last eight games overall, but they will be hoping to bounce back in this one after getting stopped in their tracks by the Heat in a 108-102 road loss on Thursday. Jrue Holiday led the team with 24 points and 11 assists, Jevon Carter added 18 points, Jordan Nwora added 16 points while AJ Green chipped in with 15 points. As a team, the Bucks shot just 40 percent from the field and 22 of 57 from the 3-point line as they looked to be in full control when they held the Heat to just 14 points in the first quarter to take the early lead, but they started to miss their open looks which allowed the Heat to claw their way back and eventually escape with the narrow win. Brook Lopez had a night to forget as he finished with just six points on two of 12 shooting.

Meanwhile, the Miami Heat have been in great form as they’ve won seven of their last 10 games overall and they will be aiming for a third straight victory after sneaking past the Bucks on Thursday. Gabe Vincent led the team with 28 points and six assists, Bam Adebayo added 24 points with 12 rebounds while Jimmy Butler chipped in with 17 points and 11 rebounds. As a team, the Heat shot 44 percent from the field and nine of 34 from the 3-point line as they suffered a slow start and scored just 14 points in the first quarter to fall behind by 15 points early, but they worked their way back into the contest and opened the fourth quarter with a pivotal 7-0 run to pull away and earn the gritty win in the end.

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Looking at the betting trends, the Bucks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss and 1-4 ATS in their last five games against a team with a winning record. The Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games, 5-1 ATS in their last six games against a team with a winning record and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall.

Head to head, the under is 23-9-1 in the last 33 meetings in Miami, the Bucks are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings overall and the Bucks are 5-11 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Miami.

The Bucks are shorthanded once again as Serge Ibaka and Khris Middleton are both out, while Giannis Antetokounmpo is currently listed as day to day. The Heat are still missing Kyle Lowry and Duncan Robinson while Tyler Herro is currently listed as questionable for this one. The Bucks weren’t able to get the win on Thursday without Antetokounmpo, but he should be better after a couple of extra days off, so I expect him to come out swinging here. The Heat have been playing some great basketball lately despite all the trade rumors, but it’s always tough to beat the same team twice in a row, so I’m backing the Bucks to bounce back with a win here behind a big game from Giannis.

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Peter’s Pick Milwaukee +1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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